Retrospective Forecasting of Volcanic Eruptions Based on b-value Time Series Analysis: A Step Towards a Near Real-Time 'Volcano Traffic Light Alert System (VTLAS)'
Thystere Bantidi1, Kazuyoshi Nanjo2, Takeo Ishibe1, Bogdan Enescu3,4, Takeshi Nishimura5 and Anscair Mukange Besa6, (1)Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction, Tokyo, Japan, (2)University of Shizuoka, Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, Natural Disaster Research Section, Shizuoka, Japan, (3)Kyoto University, Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto, Japan, (4)National Institute for Earth Physics, Magurele-Bucharest, Romania, (5)Tohoku University, Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Sendai, Japan, (6)University of Kinshasa, Department of Physics, Kinshasa, Congo