Accounting for uncertainties in CME parameters at Earth through data-informed global MHD ensemble simulations
Elena Provornikova1, Viacheslav G Merkin1, Eric Winter2, Jeffrey Garretson3, Evangelos Paouris1, Christina Kay2, Angelos Vourlidas2 and Charles Nickolos Arge4, (1)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (2)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States, (3)The Johns Hopkins University, APL, Laurel, MD, United States, (4)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States