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Abstract: Internal variability, observational uncertainty substantially contribute to uncertainty in global projections of heat-related mortality in a 2-degree world: Insights from bias-corrected Large Ensembles (AGU25)

Internal variability, observational uncertainty substantially contribute to uncertainty in global projections of heat-related mortality in a 2-degree world: Insights from bias-corrected Large Ensembles

Kevin Schwarzwald1,2, Nathan J L Lenssen3,4, Radley M Horton1,2, Alia Bonnano5 and Gernot Wagner5, (1)Columbia University, Climate School, New York, United States, (2)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, United States, (3)Colorado School of Mines, Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Golden, CO, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, United States, (5)Columbia Business School, New York, United States