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Abstract: Surprise Heatwaves: Comparing Theory- and Data-Driven Estimates of Surface Air Temperature Upper-Bounds to Identify Where and Why Historical Records May Under-Predict Future Heatwaves (AGU25)

Surprise Heatwaves: Comparing Theory- and Data-Driven Estimates of Surface Air Temperature Upper-Bounds to Identify Where and Why Historical Records May Under-Predict Future Heatwaves

Daniel Feldman, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Mark Daniel Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, CA, United States, Stefan Rahimi, University of Wyoming, Atmospheric Science, Laramie, United States and William R Boos, University of California Berkeley, Department of Earth and Planetary Science, Berkeley, CA, United States
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