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Abstract: Record Warmth and Surge of Global Mean Temperature in 2023 and 2024 - Rarely Simulated in GCMs, Yet Highly Predictable in an Initialized Model, and Caused by ENSO Transition and Northern Hemisphere Absorbed Shortwave Anomalies (AGU25)

Record Warmth and Surge of Global Mean Temperature in 2023 and 2024 - Rarely Simulated in GCMs, Yet Highly Predictable in an Initialized Model, and Caused by ENSO Transition and Northern Hemisphere Absorbed Shortwave Anomalies

Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States, Roberto Bilbao, Barcelona Supercomputing Centre, Barcelona, Spain, Aaron Donohoe, Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Seattle, United States and Stefano Materia, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
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