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Session Proposal: Advances in Understanding and Mitigating Induced Seismicity in Geo-Energy Systems (AGU25)

S003
Advances in Understanding and Mitigating Induced Seismicity in Geo-Energy Systems

Session ID#: 247024

Session Description:
Induced seismicity poses challenges for a range of subsurface energy applications, including geothermal energy, carbon storage, hydrogen/energy storage, wastewater disposal, and hydrocarbon production. Even low-magnitude events can impact public acceptance and project viability, as evidenced by prematurely abandoned projects and moratoriums emplaced on resources development.This session invites contributions focused on the physical mechanisms of induced and triggered seismicity—such as pore pressure diffusion, poroelastic stress, aseismic slip, and fault rupture—as well as strategies for risk reduction. We encourage studies involving:- Real-time seismic monitoring and traffic-light systems;- Field, laboratory, and modeling studies of fault mechanics and fluid–rock interactions;- Mitigation practices, operational controls, and early-warning procedures;- Machine learning and statistical approaches for forecasting and hazard assessment;Case studies from geothermal, CCS, hydrocarbon, and energy storage projects.Submissions from across geophysics, geology, geomechanics, hazard/risk, and hydrology are welcome.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • H - Hydrology
  • MR - Mineral and Rock Physics
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • T - Tectonophysics
Index Terms:

5104 Fracture and flow [PHYSICAL PROPERTIES OF ROCKS]
7223 Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction [SEISMOLOGY]
8004 Dynamics and mechanics of faulting [STRUCTURAL GEOLOGY]
8020 Mechanics, theory, and modeling [STRUCTURAL GEOLOGY]
Primary Convener:  No'am Zach Dvory, University of Utah, Energy & Geoscience Institute, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
Conveners:  Katie M Smye, University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States, Yves Guglielmi, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, United States and Ryan Schultz, ETH Zürich, Swiss Seismological Service, Zürich, Switzerland
 
An Extended Uenishi and Rice Criterion for the Onset of Depletion-Induced or Cooling-Induced Seismicity in Slip-Weakening Faults With Interacting Peaked Shear Stresses (1845690)
Jan Dirk Jansen, Delft University of Technology, Geoscience and Engineering, Delft, Netherlands and Bernard Meulenbroek, Delft University of Technology, Institute of Applied Mathematics, Delft, Netherlands
 
What is the State of Stress on my Fault? (Invited) (1849329)
Douglas R Schmitt, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
 
Basin Architecture and Rock Mechanical Properties Govern Depth and Magnitude of Induced Seismicity (1867955)
Maria Beatrice Magnani1, Giuseppe Volpe2, Michele Mauro2, Marco Maria Scuderi2 and Cristiano Collettini2, (1)Southern Methodist University, Roy Huffington Department of Earth Sciences, Dallas, TX, United States, (2)Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
 
Laboratory Investigation of Shear Fault Reactivation under Fluid Injection with Injection Rates and Viscosity (1868683)
Jun Young Song1, Lingfu Liu2, Chloé Arson2 and Gregory C Mclaskey3, (1)Cornell University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, United States, (2)Cornell university, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Ithaca, United States, (3)Cornell University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
 
Investigating the impact of operational controls on induced seismic sequences (1869915)
Kayla Kroll, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and Elizabeth S Cochran, U.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Science Center, Pasadena, United States
 
Fault Stability Under Reservoir Loading: Coupled Effects of Cyclic Loading and cohesion loss in Pumped Hydro Systems. (1874345)
Emmanouil Parastatidis, The University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Austin, United States, Oliver Chowns, Jacobs, Hagley, United Kingdom, Mark Hildyard, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom and Stella Pytharouli, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom
 
Simulating Injection-Induced Seismicity in Enhanced Geothermal Systems Using Models of Fluid-Induced Seismic Slip with Permeability Enhancement and Rate-and-State Friction (1875093)
Natalia Berrios-Rivera, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, So Ozawa, University of Tokyo, Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan and Eric M Dunham, Stanford University, Department of Geophysics, Stanford, United States
 
Gutenberg–Richter or Safer? On the Magnitude–Frequency Distributions of Induced Seismicity (1876410)
Linxuan Li1, Kyungjae IM2 and Jean-Philippe Avouac2, (1)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, United States
 
Hawkes Point Process and Generalized Nearest-Neighbor Distance Modeling Applied to Induced Seismicity (1879238)
Robert Shcherbakov and Mohammadamin Sedghizadeh, University of Western Ontario, Department of Earth Sciences, London, ON, Canada
 
Induced Seismicity in Southeastern New Mexico, USA (1879432)
Justin L Rubinstein, U.S. Geological Survey, Moffett Field, United States and Jeong-Ung Woo, Seoul National University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, United States
 
In-depth analysis of induced seismicity, excess pore-fluid pressure, and velocity structure in the Xingwen shale gas block using waveform cross-correlation data (1886994)
Uzonna Anyiam, Hope College, Geological and Environmental Sciences, Holland, Michigan, United States, Haijiang Zhang, University of Science and Technology of China, School of Earth and Space Sciences, Hefei, China, Jiawei Qian, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China and Yuyang Tan, Ocean University of China, Key Lab of Submarine Geosciences and Prospecting Technique, MOE; International Center of Marine Geoscience and Geoengineering Computing (ImGeoComp), Qingdao, China
 
Modeling Fluid-Induced Earthquake Swarm-to-Mainshock Transition at the St. Gallen Geothermal Site (1893118)
SeongJu Jeong, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, UNITED STATES and Junle Jiang, University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, School of Geosciences, Norman, United States
 
High-Resolution Induced Seismicity Risk Heatmap of the Permian Basin: An Automated Workflow (1893958)
Shelly Dutta, ExxonMobil Technology and Engineering Company, Geoscience, Spring, United States, Stefan A Hussenoeder, XTO Energy, Spring, TX, United States, William J Curry, ExxonMobil Technology and Engineering Company, Spring, TX, United States and Randy Cornell, ExxonMobil Technical Computing Company, Spring, United States
 
Improving Microseismic Event Detection, phase Picking, and Moment Tensor Inversion Using a Fine-Tuned PhaseNet Model (1894038)
Mohammad Hossein Khosravi, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, Qinya Liu, University of Toronto, Department of Physics, Toronto, ON, Canada and Giovanni Grasselli, University of Toronto, Department of Civil & Mineral Engineering, Toronto, ON, Canada
 
Separating the physical mechanisms driving seismicity in the Salton Sea Geothermal Field (1894373)
Rahi Abrar and Mateo Acosta, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Geoscience, Blacksburg, United States
 
On the partition between elastic and inelastic deformation in compacting reservoirs: Geodetic detection and modeling. (1895301)
Mateo Acosta1,2, Yuexin Li1, Krittanon Sirorattanakul3 and Jean-Philippe Avouac1, (1)California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, United States, (2)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Geoscience, Blacksburg, United States, (3)California Institute of Technology, Seismological Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
 
Turnkey Hydromechanical Modeling for Fault Slip Risk in CO₂ Storage (1895327)
Xiaoming Zhang1, Ryan Dupree2, Chad Cagle2 and No'am Zach Dvory3, (1)University of Utah, Energy & Geoscience Institute, Salt Lake City, United States, (2)Omnia Midstream Partners, Tulsa, United States, (3)University of Utah, Energy & Geoscience Institute, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
 
How to Explain Induced Seismicity on Non-Optimally Oriented Faults (1899742)
Cheng Mei, Paul Segall and Albert Aguilar Suarez, Stanford University, Department of Geophysics, Stanford, CA, United States
 
Enhanced Detection of Fluid-Triggered Seismicity Using Combined Array Beamforming and Machine Learning Techniques: Application to Oklahoma Dense Nodal Arrays. (1905802)
Richard Asirifi1,2, Ting Chen2, Xiaowei Chen1 and Kai Gao2, (1)Texas A&M University, Geology and Geophysics, College Station, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Energy and Natural Resources Security, Los Alamos, United States
 
How injection rate modulates fault slip behavior with implications to hazard mitigation of induced seismicity (1906811)
Chonglang Wang1, Pu Wang1, Kaiwen Xia2, Pathikrit Bhattacharya3, Harsha S. Bhat4 and Alexandre Schubnel5, (1)Tianjin University, Tianjin, China, (2)China University of Geosciences Beijing, Beijing, China, (3)National Institute of Science Education and Research, School of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Khurda, India, (4)Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris, France, (5)Ecole Normale Supérieure/CNRS UMR 8538, Laboratoire de Géologie, Paris, France
 
Picking-free microseismic event location with downhole DAS and geophones (1913124)
Eyal Shimony1, Uri Wygodny2, Xiaoming Zhang3, Noam Dvory4 and Ariel Lellouch1, (1)Tel Aviv University, Geophysics, Tel Aviv, Israel, (2)Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel, (3)Organization Not Listed, Washington, United States, (4)University of Utah, Salt Lake City, United States
 
Slip and Fluid Flow: Seismic Source Analysis to Assess Role of Multiple Slip Patches in Fault Permeability (1913254)
Muhammad Edo Marshal Nurshal1, Junpeng Wang2, Pengliang Yu1, Tushar Mittal3 and Derek Elsworth4, (1)Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Geosciences, University Park, United States, (2)Pennsylvania State University, EMS Energy Institute and Department of Energy and Mineral Engineering, University Park, United States, (3)Penn State, Earth and Planetary Science, University Park, United States, (4)Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Energy and Mineral Engineering and Geosciences, EMS Energy Institute, G3, University Park, United States
 
Integrated Deep Learning and Failure Criterion Approaches for Fault Slip Assessment in Enhanced Geothermal Systems (1914944)
Xiaoming Zhang, University of Utah, Energy & Geoscience Institute, Salt Lake City, United States and No'am Zach Dvory, University of Utah, Energy & Geoscience Institute, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
 
Basin‑Scale Simulation of Pore‑Pressure Evolution in the Delaware Mountain Group and Implications for Induced Seismicity (1915972)
Jianqiao Leng1, Jean-Philippe Nicot2, Jun Ge2, Amanda Calle3, David Hoffman2, Katie M Smye2 and Peter Hennings4, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States, (3)Univ of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (4)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States
 
Integrating Geologic Mapping and Stress Data to Mitigate Induced Seismicity in Enhanced Geothermal Systems (Invited) (1919344)
Jens-Erik Lundstern1, Justin Birdwell2, Jeremiah B Workman1 and Sam Johnstone3, (1)U.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences & Environmental Change Science Center, Denver, United States, (2)U.S. Geological Survey, Central Energy Resources Science Center, Denver, United States, (3)USGS Central Region Offices Denver, Denver, CO, United States
 
Nucleation and rupture of induced earthquakes in Groningen confined to the gas reservoir due to lithological variations (1928836)
Meng Li1, Andre Niemeijer1, Femke C Vossepoel2 and Ylona van Dinther3, (1)Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands, (2)Department of Geoscience and Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft, Netherlands, (3)Utrecht University, Department of Earth Sciences, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
Coupled flow and geomechanics modeling of ground deformation and fault stability at the Wilmington Field, CA, 1936-2020 (1929361)
Lluís Saló Salgado1, Josimar Silva1,2, Andreas Plesch3, John H Shaw3 and Ruben Juanes4, (1)Harvard University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States, (2)ExxonMobil Technology and Engineering Company, Spring, TX, United States, (3)Harvard University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States, (4)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Resources Laboratory, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Stress Interactions Across Scales: A Physics-Based Model of the 2016 Pawnee Earthquake Sequence (1934512)
Semechah K. Y. Lui, University of Toronto Mississauga, Chemical and Physical Sciences, Mississauga, Canada and Riddhi Mandal, University of Toronto, Earth Sciences, Toronto, Canada
 
Fault Reactivation Potential in the Californië Area, Netherlands: Implications for Seismic Hazard Assessment. (1939841)
Sharmin Akter, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany and Michal Kruszewski, Senior Research Scientist, Department of Engineering Geology & Hydrogeology, Aachen, Germany
 
Fracture Mechanics Model for the Maximum Magnitude of Depletion-Induced Earthquakes in the Groningen Gas Field (1943086)
Qian Shi, Kyungjae IM, Alexis Sáez and Jean-Philippe Avouac, California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, United States
 
Rapid Seismic Response to Hydraulic Fracturing at Intermediate and Long Distances: A Case Study from Luzhou, China (1943307)
Deli Zha1, Hongyu Yu1, Dewei Li1, Bei Wang2, Jian Xu3 and Shiwen Zhou4, (1)Zhejiang University, School of Earth Sciences, Hangzhou, China, (2)Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, China, (3)University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China, (4)The 6th Geological Brigade Of Sichuan, Luzhou, China
 
Hydraulic Fracturing-Induced Shallow Seismicity and Its Potential for Triggering Deep Fault reactivation in Shale Gas Field of Western Hubei, China (1945966)
Zihao Jiang1, Risheng Chu1 and Minhan Sheng2, (1)Innovation Academy for Precision Measurement Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China, (2)Innovation Academy for Precision Measurement Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China, Wuhan, China
 
Comparative study of earthquake detection and location methods based on phase identification and waveform stacking: Taking injection-induced earthquake in Lu County, Sichuan as an example (1948152)
Wanli Tian1, Hongyu Yu1, Fengzhou Tan2 and Guoyan Jiang3, (1)Zhejiang University, School of Earth Sciences, Hangzhou, China, (2)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, (3)Wuhan University, School of Earth and Space Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
 
Temporal Smoothing and Hysteresis in Fluid-Induced Seismicity: Insights From Numerical and Analytical Studies in the Peace River Region, Alberta, Canada (1952718)
Kento Akitaya1, David W S Eaton1, Rebecca Olivia Salvage1,2 and Hersh Gilbert1, (1)University of Calgary, Department of Earth, Energy, and Environment, Calgary, AB, Canada, (2)Geological Survey of Canada Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
 
Cycled Fluid Injection Limits Maximum Earthquake Size by Controlling the Cadence of Seismic Moment Release (1957648)
Zhi Geng, Pennsylvania State University, State College, United States, Derek Elsworth, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Energy and Mineral Engineering and Geosciences, EMS Energy Institute, G3, University Park, United States and Bin Liu, Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China
 
Spatiotemporal evolution of fault slip prior to injection-induced earthquakes (1969614)
Xin Cui, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States and Camilla Cattania, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Tracking the Decline of Reported Seismicity Near Cornell’s Earth Source Heat Site using Machine Learning Tools (1972968)
Daria Kuzovkova1, Hanqi Zhu1, Coralis Del Mar Friedman Alvarez1, Geoffrey A Abers1, Aaron N Ferris2 and J. Olaf Gustafson3, (1)Cornell University, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Ithaca, United States, (2)Applied Research Associates, Inc., Test Technology Division, Albuquerque, United States, (3)Cornell University, Facilities Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
 
Forward-Looking Red-Light Thresholds to Manage Hydraulic Fracturing Induced Seismicity Risk: A Case Study from Middle Magdalena Valley, Colombia (1974988)
Matthew Weingarten, PhD, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States, Santiago Diacono-Losada, Advantage Geophysics, Geophysics, San Diego, United States and Ryan Schultz, ETH Zürich, Swiss Seismological Service, Zürich, Switzerland
 
Deep Learning-Enhanced Catalogue of Induced Microseismicity at Preston New Road-1z, UK: New Insights into Spatio-Temporal Patterns and Structural Control (1979759)
Cindy Lim1, Sacha Lapins2, German Rodriguez Pradilla2, Joanna Holmgren3, James Verdon2, Antony Butcher2, Margarita Segou4 and Maximilian J Werner2, (1)University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom, (2)University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (3)NORSAR, Kjeller, Norway, (4)British Geological Survey, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
 
Seismicity Analysis, Fracture Characterization and Stress Communication during Enhanced Geothermal System development at the Cape Modern Geothermal Field, Utah (Invited) (1982932)
Nori Nakata1, Hilary Chang2, Zhengfa Bi3, Florian Soom4, Chet Hopp4, Avinash Nayak1, Aleksei Titov5 and Sireesh Dadi5, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, (3)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States, (4)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, United States, (5)Fervo Energy, Houston, United States
 
Probabilistic Forecasting of Induced Seismicity Rates and Frequency-Magnitude Distributions with an Interpretable Deep Learning Model (1983265)
Zhengfa Bi1, Nori Nakata1, Rie Nakata1, Charuleka Varadharajan2 and Michael Mahoney3, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, United States, (3)University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, United States
 
Modeling the Evolution of Pore Pressure from Shallow Wastewater Injection in the Midland Basin, Texas (1984024)
Jun Ge, Jean-Philippe Nicot, David Hoffman, Jianqiao Leng, Katie M Smye and Amanda Calle, University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States
 
Usefulness of the cost and time-friendly techniques to assess the seismic hazard of the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, for future scenario earthquake (1988293)
Janak Bahadur Chand, Dhaubadi Iron Company Limited, Lainchour Kathmandu Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal, Pashupati Gaire, Dhaubadi Iron Company Limited, Lainchour, Kathmandu Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal and Lok Bijaya Adhikari, National Earthquake Monitoring and Research Centre, Department of Mines and Geology, Kathmandu, Nepal
 
Triggering Mechanisms of Earthquake Swarms in the Alberta Oil Sands Regions: Insights from a Local Seismic Array (1989952)
Sally Palmers, Wenhan Sun and Yu Jeffrey Gu, University of Alberta, Department of Physics, Edmonton, AB, Canada
 
Insights into Earthquake Nucleation Driven by Diurnal Stress from Earth Tides and Seasonal Stress from Gas Production at The Geysers, California (1990876)
Huiyun Guo, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, Guanli Wang, California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, CA, United States, Jinhui Cheng, University of Science and Technology of China, School of Earth and Space Sciences, Hefei, China, Jean-Philippe Avouac, California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, United States and Zachary E. Ross, California Institute of Technology, Seismological Laboratory, Pasadena, United States
 
Title: Enhanced Nodal Array Detection of Induced Seismicity in the Southern Midcontinent Using Fine-Tuned Machine Learning Models (1996314)
Hongyu Xiao, Jacob I Walter, University of Oklahoma, Oklahoma Geological Survey, Norman, United States and Paul Ogwari, Oklahoma Geological Survey, Norman, United States
 
Seismic Characterization and Innovation for Geothermal Exploration in El Paso County, TX (2000261)
Solymar Ayala Cortez1, Aaron A Velasco2, Hongyu Sun3 and Marianne S. Karplus2, (1)University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Earth, Environmental, and Resource Sciences, El Paso, TX, United States, (2)The University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Earth, Environmental, and Resource Sciences, El Paso, TX, United States, (3)University of Texas at El Paso, Department of Earth, Environmental, and Resource Sciences, El Paso, United States
 
The importance of small earthquake magnitude accuracy in regional networks (2002065)
Jacob I Walter, Oklahoma Geological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Leonard, OK, United States and Paul Ogwari, Oklahoma Geological Survey, Norman, United States; Oklahoma Geological Survey, Norman, OK, United States
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