NH006
Assessing Tropical Cyclone Hazards and Risk in a Changing Climate System
Session ID#: 247661
Session Description:
As long-term shifts in environmental and climatic conditions continue to transform our planet, it is increasingly important to understand how these changes influence tropical cyclone hazards to support effective disaster risk management and mitigation strategies. This session invites contributions that explore the evolving nature of tropical cyclone activity under changing climate conditions, including variations in storm frequency, intensity, size, and related hazards such as precipitation patterns and storm surges. We particularly welcome recent advancements in methodologies designed to detect, attribute, and predict these changes—ranging from observational analyses and numerical modeling to statistical and machine learning approaches. Studies addressing risk assessment, perception and preparedness in the context of tropical cyclones are also encouraged. By bringing together insights from multiple disciplines, this session seeks to advance a comprehensive understanding of how societies can better prepare for the increasing challenges posed by tropical cyclones in a changing climate system.
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4301 Atmospheric [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4328 Risk [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Dr. Shuai Wang, PhD, University of Delaware, Department of Geography & Spatial Sciences, Newark, DE, United States
Conveners: Hiroyuki Murakami, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States and Wei Zhang, Utah State University, Plants, Soils and Climate, Logan, United States
Student/Early Career Convener: Chenxi Hu, The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Austin, United States
Global Warming Influences on Intense Tropical Cyclones in the Arabian Sea: Convection-Permitting Model Experiments (1846672)
Akash Pathaikara Mana, Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH), Pohang, Gyeongsangbuk-do, SOUTH KOREA, Minkyu Lee, Korea Institute of Energy Research, Renewable Energy Big Data Laboratory, Daejeon, South Korea, Seung-Ki Min, POSTECH, Pohang, Korea, Republic of (South), Dong-Hyun Cha, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, South Korea, Doo-Sun R. Park, Chosun University, Gwangju, South Korea, Soon-Il An, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea, Roxy Mathew Koll, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India and Raju Attada, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Mohali, India
Quantifying Riverine Sediment Transport due to Tropical Cyclones in the Eastern United States (1864387)
Luisa Vieira Lucchese, University of Pittsburgh, Geology and Environmental Science, Pittsburgh, PA, United States, John Gardner, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, United States, Colin J Gleason, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Amherst, United States and Antonia Sebastian, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Earth, Marine, and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
Downscaling Projections of Future Post-Tropical Cyclone Activity over the North Atlantic (1868066)
Dian-Yi Li, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States, Kevin Reed, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, United States, Suzana J. Camargo, Columbia University, Climate School, New York City, United States, Chia-Ying Lee, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, United States, Colin M. Zarzycki, Penn State University, Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, State College, United States and Boniface Fosu, Mississippi State University, Geosciences, Mississippi State, United States
Increasing Tropical Cyclone Rainfall and Landslide Risk in Southern California (1882791)
Laiyin Zhu1, Yuan Wang2, Kerry Emanuel3, Sasha Tolstoff4 and Noah S Diffenbaugh4, (1)Western Michigan University, School of Environment, Geography, and Sustainability, Kalamazoo, MI, United States, (2)California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, United States, (3)MIT, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States, (4)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States
Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones Using GFDL SPEAR and HiFLOR-S (1893586)
Hiroyuki Murakami1, Thomas L Delworth2, Nathaniel Johnson1, Feiyu Lu1, Colleen McHugh3 and Liwei Jia2, (1)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, (2)NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, United States, (3)Science Applications International Corporation, Reston, United States
Development of Geospatial Digital Twin Platform for Coastal Disaster Prevention and Management (1904772)
Hak Soo Lim, Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology, Marine Natural Disaster Research Department, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), MyeongHee Han, Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology, Marine Natural Disaster Research Department, Busan, South Korea and HungHwan Choi, EGIS, Geospatial Digital Twin Research Institute, Busan, South Korea
PROLONGED INLAND PROPAGATION OF PRE-MONSOON TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN: CHARACTERISTICS AND IMPLICATIONS (1909597)
Amit Kumar Jena, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Civil Engineering (Ocean Engineering), Mumbai, India, Manasa Ranjan Behera, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai India, Department of Civil Engineering (Ocean Engineering) & Center for Climate Studies, Mumbai, India and Srineash Vk, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai India, Department of Civil Engineering (Ocean Engineering), Mumbai, India
Future Climate and Urbanization Amplify Typhoon-Induced Compound Flood Hazards (1910601)
Zhan Tian1, Jingru Liu2, Laixiang Sun3, Steven Dobbie4 and Andrew N Ross4, (1)Southern University of Science and Techology, School of Environmental Science & Engineering, Shenzhen, China, (2)Southern University of Science and Technology, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, 深圳市, China, (3)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, United States, (4)University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom
Skill assessment of regional and sub-basin seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the CMCC-SPS3.5 model (1918438)
Giacomo Giuliani1, Leone Cavicchia1, Salvatore Pascale2, Silvio Gualdi1, Antonella Sanna1, Pier Luigi Vidale3 and Enrico Scoccimarro1, (1)CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Bologna, Italy, (2)University of Bologna, Department of Physics and Astronomy "Augusto Righi", Bologna, Italy, (3)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, and National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Reading, RG6, United Kingdom
Unraveling Global Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Decay Trends and Drivers (1939177)
Chenxi Hu1, Xinxin Sui1, Dev Niyogi2, Clint Dawson3 and Zong-Liang Yang4, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States, (3)The University of Texas at Austin, Aerospace Engineering & Engineering Mechanics, Austin, United States, (4)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States
Assessing Vulnerability and Capacity of Coastal Community of Baliapal Block: A Study of Balasore, Odisha (1956202)
Sidharth Verma, Centre of Excellence in Disaster Management, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, Delhi, India, Delhi, India and Durgesh Tripathi, University School of Mass Communication, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, Delhi, India, Delhi, India
Spatiotemporal Assessment of Tornado Impact on Power Transmission Infrastructure in Colorado (1950–2024) (1974747)
Bahaaldeen Mohammed, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, INDIA, Chandra Prakash Gupta, IIT Roorkee, Electrical Engineering, Roorkee, India and Rajesh Karki, University of Saskatchewan, Electrical and Computer Engineering, Saskatoon, Canada
Coastal Erosion Under Tropical Cyclone Waves in a Changing Climate: The Role of Sea Level Rise (1988269)
Mohammad Jamous, Stevens Institiute of Technology, Hoboken, United States, Reza Marsooli, Stevens Institute of Technology, Deptartment of Civil, Environmental and Ocean Engineering, Union City, NJ, United States, ASM Alauddin Al Azad, Stevens Institute of Technology, Civil, Ocean and Environmental Engineering, Union City, NJ, United States, Christian Mario Appendini, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Institute of Engineering, Sisal, YC, Mexico, Pablo Ruiz Salcines, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Centre for Climate Change, Geography Department, Tarragona, Spain and Rodrigo Duran, Planetary Science Institute Tucson, Tucson, United States; National Energy Technology Laboratory, Albany, United States
Global assessment of tropical cyclone risk for real estate portfolio analysis (1996091)
Tsung-Lin Hsieh1, Zac Flamig1, Edward Joseph Kearns1, .James P. Kossin1 and Kerry Emanuel2, (1)First Street, New York, United States, (2)MIT, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States
