A057
Extreme Events: Observations and Modeling
Session ID#: 248136
Session Description:
This session invites abstracts on observational and numerical modeling studies of extreme events such as flash floods, droughts, heat waves, cold waves, strong winds, tropical cyclones, etc. to enhance the understanding of their spatiotemporal characteristics and predictability. In particular, the abstracts are encouraged on exploring the extreme events related hazards, which would assist the policy makers to build potentially more resilient societies. This session also welcomes presentations on model simulation and assessment of extreme events to build a confidence in modeling capabilities for future projections.
Index Terms:
3309 Climatology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4332 Disaster resilience [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Dr. Sridhara Nayak, PhD, Japan Meteorological Corporation, Research and Development Center, Osaka, Japan and Sridhara Nayak
Conveners: Tetsuya Takemi, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, Satoshi Iizuka, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan, Isao Kanda, Japan Meteorological Corporation, Research and Development Center, Osaka, Japan and Sridhara Nayak
Intraseasonal precipitation variability over Northern Peru: origins and their extremes (1850125)
Juan Carlos Sulca, Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ciencias, Lima, Peru, Victor C. Mayta, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States, Ken Takahashi, Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Lima, Peru, Jose Carlos Tacza Anaya, Institute of Geophysics Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland, Juan Davalos, Instituto de Química Física Blas Cabrera, Madrid, Spain and Ricardo Zubieta, Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru
Historical Nor’easter Characteristics and Trends in a High-Resolution Regional Climate Simulation: Evaluation Against Reanalysis (1868160)
Shannon Christiansen, University of Pennsylvania, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, United States, Mackenzie Weaver, University of Pennsylvania, Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, PA, United States and Michael E Mann, University of Pennsylvania, Department of Earth and Environmental Science; Penn Center for Science, Sustainability, and the Media, Philadelphia, United States
Irreversibility of Extreme Precipitation in East Asia under Multi-Scenario to Carbon Neutrality (1889396)
Min-Uk Lee1, Jong-Yeon Park2, Han-Kyoung Kim3, Young-Hwa Byun4, Hyun Min Sung4, Jisook Park1 and Woojin Jeon1, (1)Jeonbuk National University, Department of Environment and Energy, Jeonju, South Korea, (2)Jeonbuk National University, Department of Environment and Energy, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Jeonju, South Korea, (3)Jeonbuk National University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Jeonju, South Korea, (4)National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Climate Change Research Team, Seogwipo, South Korea
Performance of coupled atmospheric-ocean modeling system for simulation of storm Phailin in a cloud resolving scale (1890687)
Kuvar Satya Singh, VIT University, Centre for Disaster Mitigation and Management, Vellore, India, Reshma M.S., VIT University, Mathematics, Vellore, India and Swadhin K. Behera, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan
A unified global tracking dataset of terrestrial and marine heatwaves from 1982 to 2024 (1902234)
Jianfeng Li1, Yun Qian1, L. Ruby Leung1, Michael F Wehner2, John Effy3, TC Chakraborty4, Karthik Balaguru5, Weiming Ma6, Shuyi Chen7 and Wenyu Zhou8, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Applied Mathematics and Computational Research Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States, (3)PNNL, Richland, WA, UNITED STATES, (4)Yale University, New Haven, United States, (5)PNNL, Marine Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, United States, (6)University of California Los Angeles, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (7)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States, (8)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
Probabilistic Assessment of Global Drought Risk Transitions under Climate Change: Insights from CMIP6 Models and Risk Ratio Methodology (1908462)
Akinwale T. Ogunrinde1, Xian Xue SR.2 and Sabab Shah Jr2, (1)Northwest Institute of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Lanzhou City, China, (2)Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Lanzhou, China
Exploring the characteristics of extreme rainfall events using IMD observed and satellite-based precipitation datasets over a homogenous region of India (1910258)
Arvind Pagire, Climate Research and Services, Indian Meteorological Department, Pune, India; Department of Atmospheric and Space Sciences ,Savitribai Phule Pune University, Pune, India, Satyban Ratna, Climate Research and Services, India Meteorological Department, Pune, India and Praveen Kumar, Regional Meteorological Centre, Nagpur, India Meteorological Department, Nagpur, India
Distinct Characteristics of Contiguous Atmospheric Heatwaves Across Terrestrial, Marine, and Coastal Environments (1912432)
Yianna Bekris, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, United States, Mingfang Ting, Columbia Climate School, New York, United States, Deepti Singh, Washington State University, School of the Environment, Vancouver, United States and Dmitri Kalashnikov, University of California Merced, Merced, United States
Compounding effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on wildfire risk and residential survivability in the United States (Invited) (1915524)
Mukesh Kumar1, John T Abatzoglou2, Moji Sadegh3, Amir AghaKouchak4 and Crystal Kolden1, (1)University of California Merced, Merced, United States, (2)University of California Merced, Sierra Nevada Research Institute, Merced, United States, (3)Boise State University, Boise, United States, (4)University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
Examining Air Quality in the Los Angeles Region During and After the Palisades and Eaton Fires. (1919283)
Kayla Morris1,2, Timothy J DeVries1 and Julie Sherman1, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Earth Research Institute, Santa Barbara, United States, (2)Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University, School of the Environment, Tallahassee, United States
Intra-seasonal variability of spatial clustering of severe European winter windstorms (1919544)
Sophie Feltz1, Gregor C Leckebusch1, Kelvin Ng1, Christopher Allen2, Tim Kruschke3, Michael Angus4 and Andrew Quinn5, (1)University of Birmingham, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom, (2)Gallagher Re, The Walbrook Building, London, United Kingdom, (3)Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH), Hamburg, Germany, (4)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (5)University of Birmingham, School of Engineering, Birmingham, United Kingdom
A Disproportionate Increase of Unprecedented Rainfall Events in Low Income Countries (1927154)
Luka Todorovic, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Lisa Nguyen, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States and Mohammed Ombadi, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Science and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States
Roles of atmospheric environment and a marine heatwave on the record-breaking snowfall in Obihiro, Hokkaido, Japan, in February 2025 (1929813)
Tomonori Sato, Hokkaido University, Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Sapporo, Japan, Hidetaka Hirata, Rissho University, Kumagaya, Japan, Kenta Tamura, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Nagaoka, Japan and Takehiro Morioka, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
Future changes in mean and extreme precipitation over North-East Africa and Arabia (1941125)
Moussa Waberi1, Pierre Camberlin2, Benjamin Pohl2, Juliette Blanchet3 and Omar Assowe1, (1)Observatoire Régional de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Climat (ORREC), Centre d'Etudes et de Recherche de Djibouti (CERD), Djibouti, Djibouti, (2)Centre de Recherches de Climatologie, UMR 6282 Biogéosciences, CNRS/Université Bourgogne Europe, Dijon, France, (3)University Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP, IGE, Grenoble, France
Spatiotemporal Impact of Humidity on Heat Wave Severity across the U.S. (1943416)
David Keellings1, Mostafa Rezaali2, Anuska Narayanan2 and Erin Bunting3, (1)University of Florida, Department of Geography, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, (2)University of Florida, Geography, Gainesville, United States, (3)Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States
Illuminating Development: A Geographically Weighted Regression Analysis of Artificial Light at Night (ALAN) Hotspots and Their Socioeconomic Drivers in Bangladesh (Invited) (1946961)
Puspendu Biswas Paul, Beihang University, Space Technology Applications in Remote Sensing and GIS, Hangzhou, China; National Oceanographic and Maritime Institute, Dhaka, Bangladesh, Samuel Olatunde Ajoniloju, Beihang University, Space Technology Applications, Beijing, China, Shipa Rani Singha, University of Dhaka, Department of Meteorology, Dhaka, Bangladesh and Mohan Kumar Das, National Oceanographic And Maritime Institute (NOAMI), Dhaka, Bangladesh
Mild, Moderate and Extreme Heatwaves: Comparing Trends Across North America (1957918)
Élise Comeau1, Alejandro Di Luca1 and Megan Kirchmeier-Young2, (1)Centre pour l’étude et la simulation du climat à l’échelle régionale (ESCER), Université du Québec à Montréal, Département des sciences de la Terre et de l’atmosphère, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Research Division, Toronto, Canada
Improving 7-Day Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature Forecast Accuracy in the Imperial Valley, California. (1959148)
Dr. Fernando De Sales, PhD., San Diego State University, Department of Geography, San Diego, CA, United States, Fernanda Portillo, San Diego State University, San Diego, United States and Siddhant Pramod Borse, San Diego State University, Geography, San Diego, United States
Mapping the Risk of UNSEEN Heat Extremes (1987013)
Annette Stellema1, Damien Irving1, James Risbey1, Didier Monselesan1, Tess Parker2, Nandini Ramesh3 and Carly Tozer1, (1)CSIRO, Environment, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (2)CSIRO, Environent, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (3)CSIRO, Data61 Natural Systems Modelling Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Evaluating WRF Parameterization Scheme Sensitivities for Modeling Winds during Hurricane Events over the Gulf of Mexico (1990443)
Azadeh Razavi Arab, The University of Southern Mississippi, Ocean Science and Engineering, Hattiesburg, United States, Diana Bernstein, University of Southern Mississippi, Division of Marine Science, Hattiesburg, United States, Mustafa Kemal Cambazoglu, The University of Southern Mississippi, School of Ocean Science and Engineering, Stennis Space Center, United States, Jeremy David Wiggert, The University of Southern Mississippi, Division of Marine Science, Stennis Space Center, United States and Diana Bernstein
Modeling Streamflow Extremes Across Indian River Basins Using Conceptual Hydrological Models and Multi-GCM Climate Projections (1998101)
Vidushi Sharma, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, IIT Mandi, Kamand,Mandi, India, Mr. Siddik Barbhuiya, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Mandi, India and Vivek Gupta, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Mandi, India
