A004
Advances in Decadal Climate Change: Evidence from Air-Sea Interaction, Mechanisms and Predictability
Session ID#: 248361
Session Description:
Decadal variations in the air-sea coupling system act as a key regulator of climate variability, significantly impacting the global climate and environment. Currently, the key processes and mechanisms driving decadal variability are not well understood, and the decadal climate prediction community is still in its development stage. Advancements in dynamical theory, high-quality multisource data, numerical simulations, prediction strategies, and artificial intelligence have created promising avenues for deepening our understanding of decadal climate variability. Our session welcomes submissions on topics that involve air-sea-land-ice interactions, atmosphere-ocean dynamical processes, inter-basin interactions on decadal timescales and their impacts as well as decadal climate predictability and modeling. Furthermore, contributions from multidisciplinary perspectives relating to decadal climate variability are also encouraged.
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4513 Decadal ocean variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
Primary Convener: Jianping Li, Ocean University of China, Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multi-spheres and Earth System (DOMES)/Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography/Academy of Future Ocean/College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences/Center for Ocean Carbon Neutrality, Qingdao, China
Conveners: Luo Dehai, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Feili Li, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China and Qingquan Li, China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Center, Beijing, China
Student/Early Career Convener: Dr. Xin Qi, Ocean University of China, Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES), Qingdao, China
Estimating the decadal‑scale climate predictability limit using nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent with optimal local dynamic analogues (1844470)
Jianping Li1, Ruize Li2, Zhaolu Hou2, Ruipeng Sun2, Shixin Zhen2 and Houbin Song2, (1)Ocean University of China, Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multi-spheres and Earth System (DOMES)/Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography/Academy of Future Ocean/College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences/Center for Ocean Carbon Neutrality, Qingdao, China, (2)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
How to Affect the Snow Cover over the Tibetan Plateau of Solar Activity (1876642)
Yan Song, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, CHINA, Zhicai Li, Shanxi Climate Center, Taiyuan, China, Ziniu Xiao, State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China and Yaqing Zhou, Jinzhong Meteorological Bureau of Shanxi Province, Jinzhong, China
Winter extreme precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau influenced by Arctic sea ice on interdecadal timescale (1882737)
Qingquan Li1, Miao Bi2, Song Yang3, Qingyuan Wu1, Yihui Ding1, Xinyong Shen4, Xiaoting Sun1 and Mengchu Zhao4, (1)China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Centre, Beijing, China, (2)Chongqing Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Chongqing, China, (3)Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Zhuhai, China, (4)Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China
全球平均海面温度低频变化的主要来源和归因：来自大集合模拟的见解 (1889499)
Lu Yang1, Pengfei Lin2 and Hailong Liu2, (1)Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, (2)State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Attributing Northern Hemisphere Summer Surface Warming Trends via the Land Surface Energy Budget (1893663)
Dingrui Cao1, Hai Lin2, Yi Huang1 and Jacques F Derome1, (1)McGill University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Environment and Climate Change Canada, Meteorological Research Division, Dorval, QC, Canada
The Seasonal and Diurnal Variation Characteristics of Soil Moisture at Different Depths from Observational Sites over the Tibetan Plateau (1903998)
Hongyi Li, China Meteorological Administration, China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing, China, Ziniu Xiao, State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Junhong Wei, Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Zhuhai, China and Ge Wang, China Meteorological Administration, Institute of Plateau Meteorology, Chengdu, China
Skill assessment of a multi-system ensemble of initialized 20-year predictions (1911422)
Dario Nicolì1, Sebastiano Roncoroni1, Wolfgang A. Müller2, Sebastian Brune3, Markus Donat4, Holger Pohlmann5, Rashed Mahmood6, Stephen G Yeager7, William J Merryfield8, Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso9 and Panos Athanasiadis1, (1)CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Bologna, Italy, (2)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (3)Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (4)Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain, (5)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Climate Variability, Hamburg, Germany, (6)Danish Meteorological Institute, National Centre for Climate Research, Copenhagen, Denmark, (7)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (8)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, Canada, (9)Environment and Climate Change Canada, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, Canada
Atlantic multi-decadal variability driving Arctic warming (Invited) (1927501)
Noel S Keenlyside1, Fei Li1, Fumiaki Ogawa2, Nour-Eddine Omrani1, Eui-Seok Chung3, Kyung-Ja Ha4, Vladimir Semenov5, Hisashi Nakamura6, Tatiana Aldonina5 and Xiu-Qun Yang7, (1)University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute, Bergen, Norway, (2)University of Tokyo, Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, Tokyo, Japan, (3)Korea Polar Research Institute, Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Incheon, South Korea, (4)Department of Atmospheric 8 Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, (5)A.M.Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow, Russia, (6)The University of Tokyo, Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, Tokyo, Japan, (7)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Early burst of Tibetan Plateau vortices increases extreme precipitation over Tibetan Plateau in early spring (1943898)
LUN LI, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Disaster Weather Science and Technology, Beijing, China, Renhe Zhang, Fudan University, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Shanghai, China and Jingzhi Su, China Meterological Administration, Earth System modeling and prediction center, Beijing, China
Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Driven by the Western Current Warming–Eastern Low Cloud Mechanism (1968992)
Shineng Hu, Duke University, Division of Earth & Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, NC, United States, Xiang Li, Duke University, Division of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, NC, United States, Alexey V Fedorov, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States and Luke P Van Roekel, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States
The robustness of the AMV teleconnection to the tropical Pacific: a multi-model Large Ensemble study (1977503)
Arundhati Kalyan1, Amanda Maycock1, Jeff R Knight2 and Yohan Ruprich-Robert3, (1)School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)Earth Sciences - Climate Variability and Change, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
