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Session Proposal: Causality, Connectivity, and Complexity in the Geosciences (AGU25)

H047
Causality, Connectivity, and Complexity in the Geosciences

Session ID#: 248408

Session Description:
The study of causality is fundamental for understanding complex environmental systems, including attributions of past events and future predictions under changing environmental conditions. Causal approaches span disciplines of Earth sciences and are increasingly practical thanks to rapidly-expanding observational and simulated data and methodology development. We welcome contributions across the geosciences, such as water resources, climate, extreme events, biogeochemistry, and the critical zone, with a focus on causal inference or causal discovery. Examples of applications may include: (i) causal methods developments, applications, or counterfactual approaches that study environmental systems and how they respond to climate change or perturbations, (ii) physically-based or machine learning model studies with a focus on causality, explainability (e.g. explainable AI), functional performance, or process representations, (iii) comparisons of causal inference methods across case studies, time scales, or data sizes, (iv) other studies that “peek into complex system dynamics” in the geosciences.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • NG - Nonlinear Geophysics
Index Terms:

1843 Land/atmosphere interactions [HYDROLOGY]
1873 Uncertainty assessment [HYDROLOGY]
1878 Water/energy interactions [HYDROLOGY]
1952 Modeling [INFORMATICS]
Primary Convener:  Allison Eva Goodwell, Prairie Research Institute at University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, United States
Conveners:  Peishi Jiang, University of Alabama, Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States, Leila Constanza Hernandez Rodriguez, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States and Mohammed Ombadi, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Rebecca Jean Herman, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
 
What Would Have Happened If...?: Counterfactual Explanations of a Hydrological Graph Neural Network using a Generative Adversarial Network (Invited) (1884550)
Aramide Moronfoye, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, UNITED STATES and Praveen Kumar, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
 
Causal Insights into the Dynamics of Atmospheric and Oceanic Variability across Multiple Timescales (1904141)
Shan He1, Edmund K M Chang1, Cheng Zheng2, Song Yang3, Jaeyeon Lee4, Xiaosong Yang4 and Dake Chen5, (1)Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States, (2)Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, United States, (3)Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Zhuhai, China, (4)NOAA, GFDL, Princeton, United States, (5)Sun Yat-sen University, School of Marine Sciences, Zhuhai, China
 
A Novel Multiscale Dynamic Causal Inference Framework for Resolving Climate–Nutrient Feedbacks in River Systems (1913615)
Hyunji Bae, Korea University, Department of Earth and Environment Sciences, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), Yunyeong Oh, NIER National Institute of Environmental Research, Climate Change Research Division, Incheon, South Korea and Seong-Taek Yun, Korea University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences & K-COSEM Research Center, Seoul, South Korea
 
Hydrologic Structure and Consistency Performance Evaluator (HYDROSCOPE) (1928283)
Mousumi Ghosh, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States, Aatish Anshuman, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Civil Engineering, Mumbai, India and Mukesh Kumar, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, United States
 
Information‑Theory Insights into Land‑Surface Causality and S2S Predictability (1960667)
Mozhgan Askarzadehfarahani and Andy Wood, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
 
Multivariate Non-Stationary Time-Series Predictions using Transformer-based Models (1974774)
Harsh Shah, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
 
Towards Robust Causal Discovery in Earth Systems: A Subsample-Based Perspective on Link Stability (1984464)
Elizabeth Eldhose, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Civil Engineering, Mumbai, India, Auroop Ganguly, Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, United States and Subimal Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India
 
Developing Mass-Conserving-Perceptron-Based Neural Networks for Physically Interpretable and Parsimonious Catchment-Scale Rainfall-Runoff Modeling (Invited) (1859639)
Yuan-Heng Wang, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, United States, Yang Yang, University of Massachusetts Boston, School for the Environment, Boston, United States and Hoshin Gupta, University of Arizona, Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States
See more of: Hydrology