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Session Proposal: Caribbean Climate: Current and Impending Risks in a Changing World (AGU25)

GC029
Caribbean Climate: Current and Impending Risks in a Changing World

Session ID#: 248510

Session Description:
Like many Small-Island States along the tropical belt, the Caribbean region remains especially vulnerable to increased likelihoods of hazards and impacts in a changing climate. The Caribbean faces rising sea levels, marine heatwaves, increases in the number of the most intense tropical cyclones, and strong variability in extreme rainfall and drought events. The aim of this session is to provide a holistic survey of changes and impacts to the Caribbean’s biosphere, atmosphere, hydrosphere, and more, while providing a worthwhile discussion of solutions to tackle the Caribbean’s ongoing and mounting vulnerability to climate change. Therefore, we not only invite presentations with a focus on climate change projections for the region, but presentations with a perspective on climate change impacts to Caribbean livelihood and infrastructure.
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1635 Oceans [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1641 Sea level change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Primary Convener:  Jhordanne Jones, University of the West Indies Mona, Department of Physics, Kingston, Jamaica
Convener:  Veeshan T Narinesingh, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Gabriel Rios, Princeton University, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Caribbean SST-rainfall relationships: Have we entered a new era? (1856560)
Jhordanne Jones1, Leonardo Clarke2, Matthew Williams3, Tajay Edwards4 and Tannecia Sydia Stephenson2, (1)University of the West Indies Mona, Department of Physics, Kingston, Jamaica, (2)University of the West Indies Mona, Kingston, Jamaica, (3)The University of the West Indies Mona, Physics, Kingston, Jamaica, (4)Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology, Bridgetown, Barbados
 
The role of tropical cyclones on rapid hydroclimate transition events in the Caribbean between 1985 and 2024 (1868766)
Dimitris Herrera, The University of Tennessee-Knoxville, Knoxville, United States
 
Mapping Urban Heat Vulnerability in Ponce, Puerto Rico (1893991)
Laura Cabrera1, Manuel Heredia-Morales1, Digna T Rueda-Roa2, Frank E Muller-Karger3, Tischa Munoz-Erickson4, Pablo Mendez-Lazaro5 and Heriberto Marin1, (1)University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus, San Juan, United States, (2)University of South Florida, College of Marine Science, St. Petersburg, FL, United States, (3)University of South Florida St. Petersburg, IMaRS, St Petersburg, United States, (4)USDA Forest Service, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (5)University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus, Environmental Health Department, San Juan, United States
 
Florida and Caribbean Heat Index Projections Using Bias Corrected, High Resolution Large Ensemble Data (1913997)
Veeshan T Narinesingh, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, Keith W Dixon, NOAA, Princeton, United States, Luis Enrique Ortiz, George Mason University, Virginia Climate Center, Fairfax, United States, Liwei Jia, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, United States, Nkosi Muse, University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Miami, United States, Jhordanne Jones, University of the West Indies, Mona, Department of Physics, Kingston, Jamaica, Gabriel Rios, Princeton University, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, Liandra Whittaker, University of the West Indies Mona, Kingston, Jamaica and Christina Karamperidou, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Honolulu, United States
 
The Thermodynamics of Marine Heatwaves in the Gulf of Mexico (1916145)
Shanice Bailey, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Analyzing Hurricane Maria’s Change in Track, Intensity and Duration in a Future Weather Scenario (1932033)
Antonio Ruiz Núñez1,2, Kelly Núñez Ocasio2 and Erin Dougherty3, (1)University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (2)Texas A&M University, College Station, United States, (3)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
 
Satellite-Derived Bathymetry and Early Sargassum Detection: Building Situational Awareness in Shallow Waters in the Dominican Republic (1935421)
Sheila Caceres Ferreras1, Vicki Lynn Ferrini1, Primitivo Lopez2, Kyle Goodrich3 and Corey Goodrich3, (1)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, United States, (2)Hydrographic Service of the Dominican Republic Navy, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, (3)TCarta Marine LLC, Denver, United States
 
Caribbean Risks in the 21st Century: Science, Observations, and Services for Resilience (1935806)
Roger S Pulwarty, NOAA Boulder, OAR/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, David A Farrell, Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology, Bridgetown, Barbados and Leonard Nurse, University of the West Indies (Emeritus), Bridgetown, Barbados
 
Advancing Weather and Climate Science in Mesoamerica and the Caribbean through Community and Storm-Resolving Modeling (Invited) (1956279)
Kelly Núñez Ocasio1, Lulin Xue2, Julio T Bacmeister3, Monica Ainhorn Ainhorn Morrison2, Erin Dougherty2 and Carlos Martinez4, (1)Texas A&M University, College Station, United States, (2)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (3)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, CGD, Boulder, United States, (4)Union of Concerned Scientist, DC, United States
 
A Statistical Evaluation of Storm Detection Methods for Atlantic Tropical Cyclones (1984617)
Matthew Davis, Jayaka D Campbell, Michael A Taylor, Tannecia Sydia Stephenson and Leonardo Clarke, University of the West Indies Mona, Kingston, Jamaica
 
African Easterly Wave Representation in CMIP6 Models (Invited) (1989767)
Rosa Vargas Martes1,2, Angel Adames-Corraliza3, Victor C. Mayta1 and Qiao-Jun Lin1, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States, (2)University of Toronto, Physics, Toronto, Canada, (3)University of Wisconsin Madison, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States