A077
Multi-Decadal Change in the Middle Atmosphere and Geospace: The Next Frontier in Climate
Session ID#: 249819
Session Description:
The Middle Atmosphere and the Geospace (from the mesosphere to the exobase) are experiencing multi-decadal change due to increasing carbon dioxide. These effects have been predicted for several decades and are now becoming apparent in multiple data records. The cooling of the Middle Atmosphere and the Geospace was anticipated to result in a contraction of the atmosphere and result in a permanent reduction of density at fixed altitude. Variable solar activity complicates the assessment of Geospace change. The ongoing change has implications for the growing space economy, international space policy and law, and the space insurance industry. We welcome papers on all topics related to Middle Atmosphere and Geospace change: modeling of the effects of multi-decadal change, observations, and new technologies for systematic investigation of such changes. We particularly welcome contributions from members of the space industry to discuss their needs for knowledge of Geospace change.
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
0325 Evolution of the atmosphere [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0340 Middle atmosphere: composition and chemistry [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0350 Pressure, density, and temperature [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0355 Thermosphere: composition and chemistry [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
Primary Convener: Juan A. Añel, University of Vigo, Ourense, Spain
Conveners: Shunrong Zhang, MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, MA, United States and Romina Nikoukar, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States
Student/Early Career Convener: Kimberlee Dube, University of Saskatchewan, Physics and Engineering Physics, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
A rocketsonde database for middle and upper atmosphere research (1858701)
Juan A. Añel, University of Vigo, Ourense, Spain, Laura de la Torre Ramos, Universidade de Vigo, EPhysLab, Ourense, Spain, Juan-Carlos Antuna-Marrero, CSIC, IGEO, Madrid, Spain; University of Vigo, Ephyslab, Ourense, Spain and Gufran Beig, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bangalore, India
Upper Atmospheric Atomic Hydrogen Response to Solar Activity and to Impacts of Greenhouse Gases Across Atmospheric Regions (1896049)
Susan M Nossal1, Edwin Mierkiewicz2, Joseph M McInerney3, Liying Qian4, Lauren Ashworth5, R. Carey Woodward Jr.6, Hanli Liu3 and Arianna Ranabhat7, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Physics, Madison, WI, United States, (2)Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, United States, (3)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, (5)Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL, United States, (6)University of Wisconsin Madison, Physics, Madison, United States, (7)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Stratosphere, Stratopause, and Lower Mesosphere in the JRA-55 and JRA-3Q Reanalyses: Insights and Discrepancies (1908325)
Celia Pérez Souto1, Juan A. Añel1, Ales Kuchar2 and Laura de la Torre Ramos1, (1)Universidade de Vigo, EPhysLab, Ourense, Spain, (2)BOKU University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria
Linking Long-term Arctic Variability and Changes in the Stratosphere, Mesosphere, and Lower Thermosphere (1950914)
Sunil Kumar, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Jens Oberheide, Clemson University, Clemson, United States, Jiarong Zhang, Utah State University, Department of Physics, Logan, UT, United States, Nicholas M Pedatella, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States and Xian Lu, Clemson University, Physics and Astronomy, Clemson, SC, United States
Observational Evidence of Stratospheric Contraction Outpacing Previous Estimations (Invited) (1953139)
Laura de la Torre1, Juan A. Añel2, Ales Kuchar3, Petr Sacha4, Rolando R Garcia5, Martin G Mlynczak6,7 and Celia Pérez Souto2, (1)University of Vigo, Ourense, Spain, (2)Universidade de Vigo, EPhysLab, Ourense, Spain, (3)BOKU University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria, (4)Charles University, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Department of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic, (5)Natl Ctr Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)NASA Langley Research Ctr, Hampton, United States, (7)Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, United States
28-Year Observations of Middle Atmospheric OH During Solar Cycles 23 – 25 (1977619)
Shuhui Wang1, Thomas Pongetti2, Luis F Millan Valle2, King-Fai Li3 and Yuk L Yung4, (1)University of California Los Angeles, JIFRESSE, Los Angeles, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (3)University of California, Riverside, Department of Environmental Sciences, Riverside, United States, (4)California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, CA, United States
Simulations of Seasonal Changes in the Thermosphere and Ionosphere into the 21st and Early 22nd Centuries using the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model - eXtended (WACCM-X) (1988633)
Joseph M McInerney, National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States, Susan M Nossal, Univ Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States and Liying Qian, National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States
The Brewer-Dobson Circulation and Increasing CO2: Response Timescales and Ozone Feedbacks (Invited) (1993547)
Clara Orbe, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, Molly Menzel, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States, Prof. Lorenzo M Polvani, PhD, Columbia University, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States, Darryn Waugh, Johns Hopkins University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Baltimore, MD, United States and Gabriel Chiodo, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland
A Parametric Study of Oxygen Photodissociation Driven by Solar Absorption in the Schumann-Runge Continuum: Insights from 20 Years of TIMED/SEE Data (1994197)
Romina Nikoukar, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, Robert DeMajistre, Applied Physics Laboratory Johns Hopkins, Laurel, United States, Frank Eparvier, University of Colorado at Boulder, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, United States, Donald Woodraska, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, United States, Thomas N Woods, University of Colorado Boulder, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, United States, Jeng-Hwa Yee, Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States and Xun Zhu, Johns Hopkins Univ, Laurel, MD, United States
Long-Term Trends of Ionospheric Day-to-Day Variability during the Past Century (1995245)
Xu Zhou, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Xinan Yue, Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China and Huixin Liu, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
The Long-term Trend of Thermospheric Compositions from Whole Atmospheric Simulation and Satellite Observation (1996214)
Chih Ting Hsu1, Wenbin Wang2, Liying Qian2, Ercha Aa3, Joseph M McInerney4, Shunrong Zhang3, Yongliang Zhang5, Anastasia Newheart6 and Dong Lin7, (1)Institute of Space Science National Central University, Jhongli, Taiwan, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, (3)MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, MA, United States, (4)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, (5)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, United States, (6)Orion Space Solutions, Louisville, United States, (7)NCAR, Boulder, United States
Prediction and Validation of foF2 Trends Driven by Secular Geomagnetic Variation (1997661)
Dupinder Singh1, Shunrong Zhang1, Larisa P Goncharenko2 and Inez Staciarini Batista3, (1)MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, MA, United States, (2)MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, United States, (3)INPE, Sao Jose Dos Campos, Brazil
