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Session Proposal: Understanding Gulf Ocean Systems: Advances in Improving Ocean Circulation Forecast Skill (AGU25)

OS028
Understanding Gulf Ocean Systems: Advances in Improving Ocean Circulation Forecast Skill

Session ID#: 250212

Session Description:
The National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine Gulf Research Program Understanding Gulf Ocean Systems (UGOS) Initiative strives to improve the skill of ocean circulation forecasts at space and time scales relevant for a broad community of stakeholders. The UGOS research combines diverse ocean observations and data assimilative ocean circulation models to advance forecasting skill of the four-dimensional ocean circulation of the Gulf of Mexico, including the Loop Current and Loop Current eddies.  This session invites presentations to highlight scientific and technological improvements in forecast skill of ocean circulation within the Gulf of Mexico and elsewhere.  Presentations are encouraged on advances that inform risk reduction on oil and gas operations, hurricane forecasts, and fisheries. The session will provide a forum for contributions that enable improved operational forecast skill of Gulf circulation with a focus on applications.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

4512 Currents [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
4520 Eddies and mesoscale processes [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
4532 General circulation [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
4534 Hydrodynamic modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
Primary Convener:  Eileen E Hofmann, Old Dominion University, Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography, Norfolk, VA, United States
Conveners:  Xiao Ge, Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States and Marco Larranaga, Florida State University, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Justin Cooke, University of Rhode Island, Graduate School of Oceanography, Narragansett RI, United States
 
Loop Current Frontal Eddies (LCFEs) and their Influence on Chlorophyll-a in the Gulf of Mexico (1852398)
Pamela Lee1, Luna Hiron2, Ganesh Gopalakrishnan3 and Subrahmanyam Bulusu1, (1)University of South Carolina Columbia, Columbia, SC, United States, (2)Florida State University, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, United States, (3)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
Advancing Ocean Front Detection with Satellite Observations and Machine Learning: A Gulf of Mexico Case Study (1853521)
Ethan Cruz and Subrahmanyam Bulusu, University of South Carolina Columbia, Columbia, SC, United States
 
Comparisons of UAS-based near-surface ocean current measurements with hydrodynamic model output in and around Galveston Bay, TX (1885950)
Vivek Bheeroo1, Mu-Jung Lee1, Kuang-An Chang1 and Scott A Socolofsky2, (1)Texas A&M University, Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College Station, United States, (2)Texas A & M University, Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College Station, United States
 
Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast for the Loop Current System with a Physical-Informed Deep Learning Ocean Emulator (1891460)
Tianning Wu1, Ruoying He1,2, Leonard Lupin-Jiminez3, Ashesh Kumar Chattopadhyay3 and Michael Gray2, (1)North Carolina State University, Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Raleigh, United States, (2)Fathom Science LLC, Raleigh, United States, (3)University of California, Santa Cruz, Applied Mathematics, Santa Cruz, United States
 
Ocean prediction and the Gulf of Mexico (Invited) (1895357)
Eric Chassignet, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
 
The roles of Submesoscale Dynamics on Nutrient and Biogeochemical Variability in NGOM (1902926)
Bentao Li, Louisiana State University, Department of Oceanography & Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, LA, United States and Junhong Liang, Louisiana State University, Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, United States
 
Real-Time Ocean State Monitoring and Loop Current Forecasting with CNAPS2 Regional Ocean Data Assimilative Forecast System (1912343)
Yongfei Deng, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States, Tianning Wu, North Carolina State University, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Raleigh, United States and Ruoying He, North Carolina State University, Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Raleigh, United States
 
Topographic Rossby Waves between the Mississippi Fan and the Sigsbee Escarpment (1914642)
Junnan Yan1, Kathleen A Donohue1, Steven L Morey2 and D Randolph Watts1, (1)University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (2)Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University, School of the Environment, Tallahassee, FL, United States
 
What Differentiates the Best and Worst Members of an Ensemble Forecast? A Deep Perspective (1914711)
Justin Cooke1, Kathleen A Donohue2, Clark David Rowley3, Prasad G Thoppil3 and D Randolph Watts2, (1)University of Rhode Island, Graduate School of Oceanography, Narragansett, United States, (2)Univ Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (3)Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
 
Enhancing Ocean Model Accuracy with Neural Network-Informed K-Profile Parameterization (1916482)
Jianguo Yuan1, Junhong Liang2, Eric Chassignet3, Alexandra Bozec3 and Alan J Wallcraft3, (1)Louisiana State University, Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, United States, (2)Louisiana State University, Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, (3)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
 
Improving Loop Current forecasts via assimilation of APEX float profiles and deep velocities (1921288)
Andrew Smith1, D Randolph Watts2, Kathleen A Donohue2, Clark David Rowley3 and Prasad G Thoppil3, (1)University of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography, WEST Greenwich, RI, UNITED STATES, (2)Univ Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (3)Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
 
Impacts of Sea Level Rise on Tidal Dynamics in the Gulf Stream Region (1930777)
Abby Wei, Organization Not Listed, MA, Newton, United States
 
Free-Running Ocean Dynamics in the Gulf of Mexico: A GPU-Accelerated Simulation with Oceananigans (1939502)
Iffat Jahan, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
 
The Flow Through the Gulf of Mexico: 25 years of the CANEK Mooring Array (1941527)
Julio Sheinbaum, Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Oceanografía Física, Ensenada, Baja California, Mexico
 
The impact of loss of balance on Loop Current Rings morphology (1943115)
Thomas Meunier1,2 and Melvil Bessiere1, (1)University of Western Brittany, Brest, France, (2)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, United States
 
International Partnership To Understand Ocean Transport Through the Yucatan Strait Using High Frequency Radars, Underwater Buoyancy Gliders and Near-Surface Far Horizon Surface Drifters. (1949432)
Anthony Hayden Knap1, Steven Francis DiMarco2, Uchenna Nwankwo3, Mr. Sakib Mahmud, PhD2, Xiao Ge2, David A Salas de Leon4, Rosalinda Monreal Jiménez5, Enric Pallas Sanz6, Miguel Costa Tenreiro6, Travis N Miles7, Scott M Glenn7, Rafael J Ramos8, Michael J Smith9 and Steve DiMarco : Texas A&M University College Station, (1)Texas A&M University College Station, College Station, TX, United States, (2)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States, (3)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station, United States, (4)UNAM, Mexico City, EM, Mexico, (5)Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico UNAM, Puerto Morelos, QR, Mexico, (6)Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education at Ensenada, Physical Oceanography, Ensenada, BJ, Mexico, (7)Rutgers University, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (8)Woods Hole Group, Bourne, MA, United States, (9)Rutgers University, New Brunswick, United States
 
Analyzing the Impact of Mesoscale Eddies on Coral Reefs in the Florida Keys Using Satellite Observations (1951116)
Christopher Moon, University of Washington Seattle, San Francisco, CA, UNITED STATES and Heather Leigh Roman-Stork, Global Science and Technology Inc, NOAA STAR, Greenbelt, United States
 
Adaptive Sampling to Improve Prediction of the Loop Current Systemin the Gulf of Mexico (1959333)
Steven L Morey1, Eric Chassignet2, Steven Francis DiMarco3, Amy S Bower4, Scott M Glenn5, Travis N Miles5, Miguel Costa Tenreiro6, Lynn K Shay7, Mr. Sakib Mahmud, PhD3, Enric Pallas Sanz6, Pierre F J Lermusiaux8, Rafael J Ramos9, Michael Feldman10 and Eric Chassignet, (1)Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University, NOAA Center for Coastal and Marine Ecosystems, and Professor, Tallahassee, United States, (2)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (3)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States, (4)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, United States, (5)Rutgers University, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (6)Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education at Ensenada, Physical Oceanography, Ensenada, BJ, Mexico, (7)RSMAES/University of Miami, Department of Ocean Sciences, Miami, United States, (8)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Cambridge, MA, United States, (9)Woods Hole Group, Bourne, MA, United States, (10)National Academy of Sciences, Washington, United States
 
Observation Resolution Implications to Data Assimilation in Ocean Prediction (1959663)
Gregg A. Jacobs1, Charlie N. Barron2, Matthew Carrier3, Joseph Matthew D'Addezio4, Robert William Helber3, Vivian A Montiforte5, John Osborne6 and Max Yaremchuk7, (1)University of Southern Mississippi, School of Ocean Science and Engineering, Stennis Space Center, United States, (2)Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (3)U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Dynamics and Prediction, Stennis Space Center, United States, (4)Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, United States, (5)American Society for Engineering Education, Stennis Space Center, United States, (6)American Society for Engineering Education (ASEE), Washington, DC, United States, (7)Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
 
Evaluating ocean models with glider observations from the 2024 Mini Adaptive Sampling Test Run (MASTR) (1960481)
Xiao Ge1, Steven Francis DiMarco1, Eric Chassignet2, Amy S Bower3, Anthony Hayden Knap1, Mr. Sakib Mahmud, PhD1, Scott M Glenn4, Travis N Miles4, Miguel Costa Tenreiro5 and Enric Pallas Sanz5, (1)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States, (2)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (3)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, United States, (4)Rutgers University, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (5)Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education at Ensenada, Physical Oceanography, Ensenada, BJ, Mexico
 
Results of the Mini Adaptive Sampling Experiment: Water Mass Transport thru the Yucatan Channel, Adaptive Sampling, and Implications to Ocean Prediction (1964549)
Steven Francis DiMarco1, Mr. Sakib Mahmud, PhD2, Xiao Ge2, Anthony Hayden Knap2, Scott M Glenn3, Travis N Miles3, Michael J Smith4, Rafael J Ramos5, Jill S Storie6, Miguel Costa Tenreiro7, Enric Pallas Sanz7, Pierre F J Lermusiaux8, Patrick J Haley Jr9, Christopher Mirabito9, David A Salas de Leon10, Rosalinda Monreal Jiménez11, Victor KEVIN Contreras12 and Jan van Smirren13, (1)Texas A&M University College Station, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group, College Station, TX, United States, (2)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States, (3)Rutgers University, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (4)Rutgers University, New Brunswick, United States, (5)Woods Hole Group, Bourne, MA, United States, (6)Horizon Marine, Inc., Marion, MA, United States, (7)Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education at Ensenada, Physical Oceanography, Ensenada, BJ, Mexico, (8)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Cambridge, MA, United States, (9)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Cambridge, United States, (10)UNAM, Mexico City, EM, Mexico, (11)Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua, Jiutepec Morelos, QR, Mexico, (12)Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua, Jiutepec Morelos, DF, Mexico, (13)Ocean Sierra LLC, Sugarland, United States
 
The Cycles of the Gulf of America Loop Current and Their Temporal Variations (1965043)
Alexander Nickerson1, Yonggang Liu2 and Robert H Weisberg2, (1)University of South Florida St. Petersburg, St Petersburg, FL, United States, (2)University of South Florida, College of Marine Science, St. Petersburg, United States
 
Characterization of cyclonic eddies that drive the detachment and separation of Loop Current eddies (1967214)
Marco Larranaga, Florida State University, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL, United States, Eric Chassignet, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, Julien Jouanno, Observatory Midi-Pyrenees, Toulouse, France and Lionel Renault, IRD Institute for Research and Development, Toulouse, France
 
Co-evolution of Hurricanes Helene and Milton with a Cyclonic Eddy, and the formation Loop Current Eddy Edison (1971821)
Scott M Glenn1, Travis N Miles2, Michael J Smith3, Lynn K Shay4, Benjamin Jaimes de la Cruz4, Hyun-Sook Kim5, Patrick Hogan6, Heather H Furey7, Pierre F J Lermusiaux8, Bruce D Cornuelle9, Ganesh Gopalakrishnan9, Rafael J Ramos10, Mr. Sakib Mahmud, PhD11, Miguel Costa Tenreiro12 and Enric Pallas Sanz12, (1)Rutgers University, Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (2)Rutgers University, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (3)Rutgers University, New Brunswick, United States, (4)RSMAES/University of Miami, Department of Ocean Sciences, Miami, United States, (5)Atlantic Oceanic and Meteorologic Laborabory, Miami, United States, (6)NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI-MS, Stennis Space Center, United States, (7)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (8)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Cambridge, MA, United States, (9)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, (10)Woods Hole Group, Bourne, MA, United States, (11)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States, (12)Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education at Ensenada, Physical Oceanography, Ensenada, BJ, Mexico
 
A Machine Learning Framework for Estimating Ocean Horizontal Currents from Autonomous Glider Observation (1974158)
Mr. Sakib Mahmud, PhD1, A N M Nafiz Abeer2, Steven Francis DiMarco1, Xiao Ge1, Anthony Hayden Knap1, Travis N Miles3 and Scott M Glenn3, (1)Texas A&M University, Geochemical and Environmental Research Group (GERG), College Station TX, United States, (2)Texas A&M University, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, College Station, United States, (3)Rutgers University, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, United States
 
Spatial and Temporal Enhancement of UAS Imagery Using Dual Oblique and Infrared Imaging (1977508)
Mu-Jung Lee1, Vivek Bheeroo1, Kuang-An Chang1,2 and Scott A Socolofsky1,2, (1)Texas A&M University, Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College Station, United States, (2)Texas A&M University, Department of Ocean Engineering, College Station, United States
 
Future weakening of the AMOC may lead to a significant reduction in upwelling off the West Florida Shelf (1977709)
Dongmin Kim, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies Miami, Miami, FL, United States, Sang-Ki Lee, NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, United States, Fabian Gomez, Northern Gulf Institute, Starkville, United States, Andrew Ross, NOAA/OAR/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, Jasmin G John, NOAA/OAR/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, United States and Charles A Stock, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States
 
On the role of the Loop Current and local winds in driving interannual ocean-biogeochemical variability in the West Florida shelf (1978647)
Fabian A Gomez1,2, Sang-Ki Lee2, Prasanth Rajendran1,2 and Dongmin Kim2,3, (1)Northern Gulf Institute, Mississippi State University, Starkville, United States, (2)NOAA/OAR/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, United States
 
Identification of Ocean Fronts and Coastal Dynamics in the Gulf Region Using Clustering and Trend Analysis from Satellite Data (1979676)
Jacob Spier1, Andrew Halaby1, Jorge Vazquez1, Mario Giraldo2, Latha Baskaran1, Joe T Roberts3, Athina Rei Perez1 and Bryce Prim1, (1)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (2)California State University Northridge, Geography, Northridge, United States, (3)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States
 
Impact of Bottom Drag on Eddy Kinetic Energy and Loop Current Eddy Dynamics in the Gulf of Mexico (1994966)
Ilkyeong Ma, FSU, COAPS, Tallahassee, United States and Marco Larranaga, Eric P. Chassignet , Alexandra Bozec, and Takaya Uchida
 
Hypoxic zone in the northern Gulf of Mexico in the 21st century (1996231)
Junhong Liang, Louisiana State University, Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, Bentao Li, Louisiana State University, Department of Oceanography & Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, Curtis Deutsch, Princeton University, Geosciences, Princeton, United States and Curtis Deutsch
 
ML-Based Classification of Loop Current/Loop Current Eddy Regimes and Application to Forecast (2001853)
Rafael Ramos, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States
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