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Session Proposal: Navigating Risk in the 21st Century: A New Resilience Paradigm (AGU25)

NH032
Navigating Risk in the 21st Century: A New Resilience Paradigm

Session ID#: 250544

Session Description:
The 21st century is defined by deep interdependence—across Earth and space environments, social and technological systems, and the physical and human sciences. As complexity reshapes risk landscapes for socio-ecological-technological systems, there is an urgent need for a new field of resilience science to understand and navigate this interconnected world.This session invites contributions that highlight frontier research on risk and resilience across physical science, climate, social science, and critical infrastructure. We aim to cohere diverse work into a new paradigm grounded in complexity science, systems thinking, and multi-hazard multi-scale approaches.Topics include multi-hazards, interdependent systems, network science, collective behavior, uncertainty quantification, and vulnerability. We especially welcome integrative work that bridges Earth and space science with socio-technical systems.Our goal is to catalyze a new kind of scientific inquiry—and a new community—committed to building resilience for an interdependent world.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • NG - Nonlinear Geophysics
  • SA - SPA-Aeronomy
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4327 Resilience [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4328 Risk [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4430 Complex systems [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]
Primary Convener:  Ryan Michael McGranaghan, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, United States
Conveners:  Auroop Ganguly, Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, United States, Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States and Shanna N. McClain, NASA Headquarters, Applied Sciences, Washington, DC, United States
 
Charting- a new paradigm to combine ‘hard data’ based risk quantification and ‘soft data’ anecdotal reports of hazard (1868334)
Sandra C Chapman, University of Warwick, CFSA, Physics, Coventry, United Kingdom
 
Resilience by Design: Decision-Centered Metrics for Wildfire Risk in Electric Infrastructure (1895248)
Dr. Christopher Chini, PhD1, James Yoon2, Troy Saltiel2, Lee Miller2 and Andre M Coleman3, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Earth Systems Predictability & Resiliency Group, Richland, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Earth Systems Science Division, Richland, United States
 
Decision-focused Sensing and Forecasting for Adaptive and Rapid Flood Response: An Implicit Learning Approach (1901917)
Graham Hults, Qian Sun and Susu Xu, Johns Hopkins University, Civil and Systems Engineering, Baltimore, United States
 
CoNetCADE: A Variational-Diffusion Model for Co-Evolving Networks and Post-Disaster Household Adaptation (1907344)
Shan Gao1, Ruxiao Chen2, Xuechun Li2 and Susu Xu2, (1)Johns Hopkins University, Civil and Systems Engineering, Baltimore, MD, United States, (2)Johns Hopkins University, Civil and Systems Engineering, Baltimore, United States
 
Comparing Community Resilience to Natural Hazards at Two Geographical Scales: A Case Study of Louisiana Using the Resilience Inference Measurement (RIM) Model (1909009)
Nina Lam1,2, Chi Li3, Volodymyr Mihunov3, Kejin Wang3 and Xinyang Zhang3, (1)Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, (2)The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (3)Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, United States
 
How Deep is Your Resilience? Lessons Learned, Not Learned, and Paths Toward Risk Reduction (1935341)
Roger S Pulwarty, NOAA Boulder, OAR/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Marc Gordon, United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, Geneva, Switzerland
 
Analyzing Climate Risks and Trade Barriers: A Stochastic Frontier Gravity Approach to Pakistan’s Agricultural Trade with South Asia (1952275)
Zakia Batool, Quaid-i-Azam University, Department of social sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan and Noor Ul Ain, Quaid i Azam University, Social science, Islamabad, Pakistan
 
Integrating Atmospheric Science, Fire Science, and Public Policy to reduce Wildfire Risk in Southern California (Invited) (1972975)
Alexander D Hall1, James Tremper Randerson2, Stefan Rahimi3, Negar Elhami Khorasani4, Raymond Sukhdeo5, Karandeep Singh5, Chad William Thackeray5, Rebecca Scholten2, Ertugrul Taciroglu6, Maria Frediani7, Fernando Jose Szasdi Bardales8, Patrick Hadinata9, Timothy W Juliano10, Weichen LIU11 and Riyaaz Uddien Shaik12, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, United States, (3)University of Wyoming, Atmospheric Science, Laramie, United States, (4)State University of NY at Buffalo, Department of Civil, Structural, and Environmental Engineering, Buffalo, United States, (5)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, (6)University of California Los Angeles, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Los Angeles, United States, (7)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (8)University at Buffalo, Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering, Buffalo, NY, United States, (9)University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States, (10)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (11)University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, United States, (12)University of California, Los Angeles, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Los Angeles, United States
 
Redefining Vulnerability Through Personal and Household Characteristics (1983711)
Jasleen Kaur1, Susan Clark1, Jan Whittington2 and Haoyu Yue2, (1)The University at Buffalo, Department of Environment & Sustainability, Buffalo, United States, (2)The University of Washington, Seattle, Department of Urban Design and Planning, Seattle, United States
 
Quantifying global and sub-global socioeconomic transition uncertainty for climate management and risk analyses (1984192)
Jennifer F Morris, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, MA, United States, Steven K Rose, EPRI, Energy Systems and Climate Analysis Research Group, Washington, DC, United States and Angelo Gurgel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, United States
 
Disentangling the complex drivers of and responses to heat-energy-housing problems (Invited) (1988771)
Lynée Turek-Hankins, Dartmouth College, Thayer School of Engineering, Hanover, NH, United States
 
Floods, Failures, and Flexibility: Resilience of Boston’s Multimodal Transit Network to Climate-Driven Disruptions (1989515)
Danish Mansoor1, Dongqin Zhou2, Raviraj Dave3 and Auroop Ganguly1, (1)Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, United States, (2)Northeastern University, Institute for Experiential AI, Boston, United States, (3)Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, MA, United States
 
Using the EVDT Framework to Assess the Utility of CYGNSS Satellite Earth Observations for Decision-Making Needs in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Region (2003496)
Danielle Wood, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Media Arts and Sciences; Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Cambridge, MA, United States, Allegra Farrar, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Aeronautics and Astronautics, Cambridge, MA, United States, Md Sariful Islam, Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, Columbia University of New York, Center for Sustainable Urban Development, New York, United States, Christopher S Ruf, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Joaquin Salas, Instituto Politecnico Nacional, CICATA Queretaro, Queretaro, Mexico, Rajeswari Balasubramaniam, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Patricia Chardon-Maldonado, Caribbean Coastal Ocean Observing System, Puerto Rico, United States and Julio M Morell, University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez, Caribbean Coastal Ocean Observing System, Mayaguez, United States
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