GC079
MultiSector Dynamics: Advances in Modeling Adaptive Human Systems
Session ID#: 250883
Session Description:
The representation of adaptive human action in human-Earth system models spanning multiple sectors has traditionally been simplified, potentially mischaracterizing the response to external shocks. For example, many MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) models lack realistic human systems dynamics or characterize human resource demands as fixed or uniform. These shortcomings are critical as human action is arguably the paramount determinant of MSD systems’ vulnerability and resilience. The session seeks to highlight improved representations or in-depth analyses of adaptive human action in MSD modeling. These improvements may relate to novel data sources, empirical techniques, or modeling approaches. We broadly invite submissions across disciplines (e.g., earth systems modeling, behavioral psychology, etc.), methodological modeling approaches (e.g., agent-based, economic, optimization, etc.) and domains (agriculture, water, energy, transport, etc.), illustrating the diversity of approaches that can be applied to MSD research on coupled human-natural system dynamics.
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1952 Modeling [INFORMATICS]
Primary Convener: Jim Yoon, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Energy and Environment Directorate, Richland, United States
Conveners: Christian J. A. Klassert, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Department of Economics, Leipzig, Germany, Jillian M Deines, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States and Anne van Valkengoed, University of Groningen, Psychology, Groningen, Netherlands
Advancing the Representation of Human Actions in Macro-Scale Hydrologic Models (Invited) (1867000)
Stefano Galelli, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States, Sean William Donald Turner, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, Yadu Pokhrel, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University, East Lansing, United States, Jia Yi Ng, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, Andrea Castelletti, Politecnico di Milano, Department of Electronics, Information, and Bioengineering, Milano, Italy, Marc FP Bierkens, Deltares, Delft, Netherlands, Francesca Pianosi, University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, United Kingdom and Hester Biemans, Wageningen University and Research Center, Wageningen, Netherlands
An Integrated PMP-ABM Model of Adaptive Enforcement and Behavioral Spillover (1871806)
Noureddine Bouzidi, IMDEA Water Institute, Alcalá De Henares, Spain, Christian J. A. Klassert, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Department of Economics, Leipzig, Germany and C. Dionisio Perez-Blanco, Universidad de Salamanca, Economics, Salamanaca, Spain
Agricultural-Urban Water Transactions and Salinity: A Case Study in the Lower Arkansas River Valley (1888253)
Yvette Uwineza, Colorado State University Fort Collins, Fort Collins, CO, UNITED STATES, Mani Rouhi Rad, Texas A&M University College Station, Department of Agricultural Economics, College Station, United States, Jordan Suter, Colorado State University, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Fort Collins, United States, Soheil Nozari, Colorado State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Fort Collins, United States and Ryan Bailey, Colorado State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Fort Collins, CO, United States
Agricultural Fallowing Patterns Reveal Local Sensitivities and Inform Agent-Based Land-Use Modeling in California’s Central Valley. (1905977)
Abhinav Sharma, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, James M Gilbert, University of California Santa Cruz & NOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Golden, United States and Josue Medellin-Azuara, University of California, Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, United States
Frameworks for integrating human decisions into hydrologic models for irrigated agriculture (1914321)
Trevor Partridge, USGS, Water Resources Mission Area, Hanover, United States, Yu Cai, University of California Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, United States, Leslie Sanchez, University of California Davis, Agricultural and Resources Economics, Davis, United States, Alvar Escriva-Bou, University of California Davis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States, Josue Medellin-Azuara, University of California, Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, United States, Kimberlie S Perkins, USGS, Water Resources Mission Area, Moffett Field, United States, Jon Traum, USGS California Water Science Center Sacramento, Sacramento, CA, United States and Carolyn Olson, U.S. Geological Survey, Emerita, USDA Retired, Washington, United States
Quantifying Uncertainty in Urban Water Demand Projections (1922143)
Aniket Verma1, Jennifer Beth Skerker1, Christian J. A. Klassert2, Christa Brelsford3 and Sarah Fletcher1, (1)Stanford University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Department of Economics, Leipzig, Germany, (3)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States
Modeling Adaptive Human Decision-Making in Refugee Movement Using Dual Process Theory (Invited) (1927775)
Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States, Derek Groen, London, London, United Kingdom, Erika Wu, Columbia University, Columbia Climate School, New York, United States and Diana Suleimenova Jr, Brunel University, Uxbridge, United Kingdom
Operationalizing the concept of socio-environmental tipping points in river basin management: an application in in land use, water quality, and conservation in Northern Finland (1949468)
Julie Elizabeth Shortridge, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, United States, Hannu Marttila, University of Oulu, Water, Energy and Environmental Engineering Research Unit, Oulu, Finland and Aleksi Räsänen, University of Oulu, Geography Research Unit, Oulu, Finland
Competition Between Future Energy Development and Other Land Use Demands (1958341)
Emeka Orji, Baylor University, Department of Environmental Science, Waco, United States, Ryan McManamay, Baylor University, Department of Environmental Science, Waco, TX, United States, Chris R Vernon, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Kendall Mongird, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, United States and Kanishka Narayan, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
Carrots, Sticks, and Cattle: Modeling Tradeoffs and Synergies in Amazonian Conservation Policy Futures (1958731)
Nicolas Choquette-Levy, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Geosciences, University Park, United States, Rodrigo Martins Moreira, Universidade Federal de Rondônia, Environmental Engineering, Ji-Paraná, Brazil, Andrew Reid Bell Dr, Schleifer Family Associate Professor of Sustainability, Department of Global Development, Department of Global Development, 266 Warren Hall Ithaca, NY 14853, United States and Jime Rodrigues Ribeiro, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, United States
Modeling and Assessing the Propagation of the Economic Effects of Extreme Events (1980982)
Angelo Gurgel1, Justin Caron2, John M Reilly1, Jennifer F Morris3 and Sergey Paltsev1, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, United States, (2)HEC Montreal, Department of Applied Economics, Montreal, Canada, (3)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, MA, United States
Designing Multisector Systems for Climate-Resilient Nutrition and Food Security (1993251)
Adil Ashraf1, Mohammed Basheer2, Mikiyas Etichia3, Jose M Gonzalez1 and Julien J Harou1, (1)The University of Manchester, Department of Civil Engineering and Management, Manchester, United Kingdom, (2)University of Toronto, Department of Civil and Mineral Engineering, Toronto, Canada, (3)University of Exeter, Department of Computer Science, Exeter, United Kingdom
Capturing Adaptive Human Responses to Extreme Weather Events with Large Language Models (1993651)
Zhecheng Wang1, Tao Sun1, Chad M Zanocco1, June A. Flora1, Hilary Schaffer Boudet2, Ram Rajagopal1 and Arun Majumdar3, (1)Stanford University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, United States, (2)Oregon State University, Corvallis, United States, (3)Stanford University, Mechanical Engineering & Energy Science and Engineering, Stanford, United States
