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Session Proposal: Advances in Seismic Source Estimation: Methods, Data, and Uncertainty Quantification (AGU25)

S001
Advances in Seismic Source Estimation: Methods, Data, and Uncertainty Quantification

Session ID#: 251504

Session Description:
Seismic source models, such as moment tensors and single forces, are essential for understanding source physics across types and scales, from laboratory experiments to large-scale ruptures. While the theoretical foundations are well-established, source estimates are limited by observational constraints, subsurface heterogeneity, and modeling assumptions that affect the reliability of results. This session highlights recent advances in seismic source estimation using both traditional and emerging methods. We welcome contributions that improve or propose new estimation strategies, particularly those focused on uncertainty quantification; integration of diverse datasets including local to regional arrays (sparse or dense), distributed acoustic sensing (DAS), infrasound, and geodetic measurements such as InSAR; and innovative approaches across applied and computational domains, including machine learning and other modeling approaches. We invite studies addressing seismic sources of any type or scale, including anthropogenic, tectonic, and volcanic processes.
Index Terms:

7215 Earthquake source observations [SEISMOLOGY]
7230 Seismicity and tectonics [SEISMOLOGY]
7280 Volcano seismology [SEISMOLOGY]
7290 Computational seismology [SEISMOLOGY]
Primary Convener:  Evans Awere Onyango, Air Force Research Laboratory, Albuquerque, United States
Conveners:  Celso Alvizuri, NORSAR, Kjeller, Norway, Andrea Chiang, Berkeley Seismological Laboratory, UC Berkeley, Earth and Planetary Science, Berkeley, CA, United States and Aurélie Guilhem Trilla, CEA, DAM, DIF, F-91297 Arpajon, France, Arpajon, France
Student/Early Career Convener:  Thanh-Son Pham, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
Generalized inversion of source, site and attenuation parameters using the radiative transfer theory: a focus on uncertainty reduction (Invited) (1854740)
Grégoire Heller1,2, Olivier Sèbe2, Ludovic Margerin3, Paola Traversa4, Jessie Mayor4 and Marie Calvet3, (1)IRAP, Université Toulouse III Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France, (2)CEA Commissariat à l'Energie Atomique DAM, Arpajon Cedex, France, (3)Institut de Recherche en Astrophysique et Planétologie, Université Toulouse III Paul Sabatier, CNRS, Toulouse, France, (4)EDF Electricité de France, CEIDRE-TEGG, Aix-en-Provence, France
 
Toward New Magnitude Conversion Relations for the Stable Continental Regions of Canada (1858949)
Allison L. Bent, Natural Resources Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
 
Characterization of Earthquake Source Parameters with Distributed Acoustic Sensing: Results, Challenges, and Perspectives. (Invited) (1863740)
Claudio Strumia1, Alister Trabattoni2, Mariano Supino3, Antonio Scala1,3, Francesco Scotto Di Uccio1, Anjali Suresh1, Diane Rivet2 and Gaetano Festa1,3, (1)University of Naples Federico II, Department of Physics, Naples, Italy, (2)Université Côte d’Azur, Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur, CNRS, IRD, Géoazur, Valbonne, France, (3)INGV National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Rome, Italy, Rome, Italy
 
Modeling Seismic Response to Faults that Rupture Through Discontinuities (1865980)
Yichen Geng, Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States and Miaki Ishii, Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Improving Seismic Source Characterization of Moderate Magnitude Events at Regional Distance With Seismic and InSAR Data (1871912)
Aurélie Guilhem Trilla1, Henri De Boever2, Béatrice Pinel-Puysségur1 and Gael Burgos1, (1)CEA/DAM- ILE DE FRANCE, Arpajon, France, (2)Université Paris Cité, Institut de Physique du Globe, Paris, France
 
W-phase Source Inversion from GNSS Velocities (1874965)
Jensen DeGrande, University of Washington, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Seattle, United States and Brendan Crowell, The Ohio State University, School of Earth Sciences, Columbus, United States
 
Comparing Moment Tensor Inversions using 1D and 3D Wavespeed Models: Synthetic Experiment in the Middle East (1875282)
Claire Doody1, Nathan A Simmons2, Andrea Chiang3 and Dr. Arthur J Rodgers, PhD1, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Livermore Nat'l Lab, Atmospheric, Earth and Energy Division, Livermore, CA, United States, (3)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Atmospheric, Earth, and Energy Division, Livermore, CA, United States
 
Full Moment Tensor Solutions for the DPRK Announced Nuclear Tests and Earthquakes in the Surrounding Region (1878928)
Chris Ogden, Neil Selby, Stuart E.J. Nippress and Ross Heyburn, AWE Blacknest, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Bayesian inference for the seismic moment tensor using a data-derived distribution of velocity models and source locations (1879908)
Sean Ricardo Ford1, Andrea Chiang2, Dr. Michael Pasyanos, Ph.D.1 and Nathan A Simmons3, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Atmospheric, Earth, and Energy Division, Livermore, CA, United States, (3)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States
 
Distinguishing Spatial Variations in California Earthquake Dynamics Using a High- to Low-Frequency Spectral Ratio (1882383)
Ian Vandevert, Peter M Shearer and Wenyuan Fan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
Source Mechanism of Small Earthquakes in the Changning Region, China, Using A Dense Array Dataset (1882884)
Youjie Jiang1, Jiewen Zhang1, Jinping Zi2 and Hongfeng Yang2, (1)Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (2)Chinese University of Hong Kong, Earth and Environmental Sciences Programme, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
 
Earthquake Source Inversion by Integrated Fiber-Optic Sensing Based on Optical Noise Cancellation (1889562)
Nils Müller1, Sebastian Noe1, Dominik Husmann2, Jacques Morel2 and Andreas Fichtner3, (1)ETH Zurich, Department of Earth Sciences, Institute of Geophysics, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)Federal Institute of Metrology METAS, Bern, Switzerland, (3)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Earth Sciences, Institute of Geophysics, Zurich, Switzerland
 
Resolving Volumetric Components in Intermediate and Deep Earthquakes Using Geodetic Observations of Co-Seismic Displacements (1894948)
Sifang Chen and Sunyoung Park, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, United States
 
From Waves to Yields: AI-Powered Insights into Explosion Source Parameters (1895067)
Benjamin Moyer1, Vedran Lekic1, Nicholas C Schmerr2, Arben Pitarka3, Keehoon Kim4 and Souheil M Ezzedine5, (1)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geology, College Park, United States, (2)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geology, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, (4)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Geophysical Monitoring Program, Livermore, United States, (5)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
 
Using Fourier Neural Operator for Seismic Source Inversion (1895119)
Qingkai Kong1, Jiun-Ting Lin1, Claire Doody1, Luis Vazquez2, Caifeng Zou3, Youngsoo Choi4, Zachary E. Ross5, Kamyar Azizzadenesheli6, Dr. Arthur J Rodgers, PhD1 and Robert W Clayton7, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)University of Southern California, Earth Sciences Department, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (4)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, (5)California Institute of Technology, Seismological Laboratory, Pasadena, United States, (6)Nvidia Corporation, Santa Clara, United States, (7)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
 
Robust Extraction of Earthquake Source-Time Functions Using Deep Generative Modeling (1906411)
Pawan Bharadwaj, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
 
Enhancement in the Seismic Catalog Of The Gargano Promontory (Southern Italy) After A Decade Of Seismic Monitoring By The OTRIONS Local Network (1909814)
Marilena Filippucci1,2, Andrea Pio Ferreri1, Annalisa Romeo3, Rossella Giannuzzi1, Teresa Ninivaggi4, Gianpaolo Cecere5, Luigi Falco5, Maddalena Michele2 and Giulio Selvaggi2, (1)University of Bari Aldo Moro, Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Bari, Italy, (2)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy, (3)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Vesuviano, Napoli, Italy, (4)National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Milano, Italy, (5)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Irpina, Grottaminarda (AV), Italy
 
Waveform-Based Localization of Deep Low-Frequency Events Without Arrival-Time Picking Using Fourier Neural Operator (1910411)
Shinya Katoh, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, Zachary E. Ross, California Institute of Technology, Seismological Laboratory, Pasadena, United States and Hiromichi Nagao, Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Research Center for Computational Earth Science, Tokyo, Japan
 
Investigating Uncertainties of Single-Station Marsquake Moment Tensor Inversions (1916206)
Christyna Moore1, Ross Maguire1, Doyeon Kim2, Rebekah Parry3 and Dmytro Malytskyy4, (1)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Earth Science and Environmental Change, Urbana, United States, (2)Imperial College London, Department of Earth Science and Engineering, London, United Kingdom, (3)Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, (4)Carpathian Branch of Subbotin Institute of Geophysics, Lviv, Ukraine
 
Can you trust your uncertainties? Improving Bayesian earthquake source inversions using machine learning. (Invited) (1917294)
Alex Saoulis, University College London, Department of Physics and Astronomy, London, United Kingdom, Davide Piras, Université de Genève, Département de Physique Théorique, Geneva, Switzerland, Alessio Spurio Mancini, Royal Holloway University of London, Department of Physics, Egham, United Kingdom, Benjamin Joachimi, University College London, Department of Physics & Astronomy, London, United Kingdom and Ana MG Ferreira, University College London, Department of Earth Science, London, United Kingdom
 
Shallow and Normal Depth Earthquake Discrimination from Explosions - The Source Physics Experiments (1930946)
William R Walter1, Moira L Pyle1, Colin Pennington1, Rengin Gok2, Anne Patton2,3 and Daniel T Trugman3, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, (3)University of Nevada Reno, Nevada Seismological Laboratory, Reno, United States
 
Quantitative Characteristics of the Earthquake Radiation Processes of Deep-Low Frequency Earthquakes in Japan (1932862)
Masaki Orimo, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan and Keisuke Yoshida, Tohoku University, Graduate School of Science, Sendai, Japan
 
Data-Driven Modeling of Low-Frequency Tremors with Stochastic Differential Equations: From Non-Parametric Estimation to Physics-Informed Learning (1935595)
Toshiro Kusui1, Hiromichi Nagao2, Shin-ichi Ito3, Shinya Katoh2 and Tomoki Tokuda4, (1)Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, (2)Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Research Center for Computational Earth Science, Tokyo, Japan, (3)The University of Tokyo, Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan, (4)Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
 
Probabilistic classification with seismic moment tensors (1939808)
Celso R Alvizuri, NORSAR, Kjeller, Norway
 
Joint inversion of the tsunami, GNSS, and SAR datasets for finite fault modeling: optimizing data weights using Akaike’s Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC) (1942072)
Ayumu Mizutani1, Bruno Adriano1, Erick Mas2, Yusaku Ohta3 and Shunichi Koshimura1, (1)Tohoku University, International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Sendai, Japan, (2)Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan, (3)Tohoku University, Research Center for Prediction of Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions, Graduate School of Science, Sendai, Japan
 
Integrated Subsurface Interpretation for Hydrocarbon Exploration and quantifying the future co2 storage sites using Geological and Geophysical (G&G) datasets. (1943937)
Anchal Jaiswal, Indian Institute of Technology (Indian School of Mines),Dhanbad, Applied Geophysics, Dhanbad, India
 
Characterizing Complex Earthquakes as Multiple Centroid Moment Tensors via Derivative-free, Ensemble-based Optimization (1944312)
Jeremy Wing Ching Wong, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, San Diego, United States, Wenyuan Fan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, La Jolla, United States, Matthias Morzfeld, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, La Jolla, United States and Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Munich, Germany; University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
Source Parameters of Background Seismicity (2013-2020) on the Reykjanes Peninsula: A Baseline for the Recent Volcanic Unrest (1946228)
Diana Konrádová, Charles University, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Prague, Czech Republic, Laura Cataldi, National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics OGS, Trieste, Italy, Valerio Poggi, Seismological Research Center (CRS) - National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS), Udine, Italy, Jana Doubravova, Institute of Geophysics CAS, Seismic, Prague 4, Czech Republic and Jan Burjanek, Institute of Geophysics CAS, Seismic, Prague, Czech Republic
 
Open-Source Python Scripts for Relative Magnitude Estimation (1950144)
Sydney Lauren Gable, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Yihe Huang, Earth and Environmental Sciences Department, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, United States and Francesca Burkett, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ann Arbor, United States
 
P-wave First-Motion Polarity Determination Using Order Statistics and Entropy Theory (POSE) with Applications to Southeastern Tibetan Plateau (1959519)
Dr. Yijian Zhou1, Longtan Wang2, Haoran Meng2, Weilai Pei3 and Shiyong Zhou4, (1)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)Southern University of Science and Technology, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Shenzhen, China, (3)Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing, China, (4)ITAG Institute of Theoretical and Applied Geophysics, Peking University, Beijing, China
 
Correcting Near-field Radiated Energy Results for Early Earthquake Energy Information (1961709)
Elianna Cohen, Georgia Institute of Technology, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, United States, Hiba Kunwer, Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Geophysics, Atlanta, United States and Andrew Vern Newman, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, United States
 
Investigating the Effects of Frequency Bandwidth on Earthquake Source Parameters Using Joint Spectral Ratio Inversion (1964212)
Hao Guo and Clifford H Thurber, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Geoscience, Madison, WI, United States
 
Estimation of source parameters using site-corrected source spectra for the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence in Southern California (1990956)
Byeong Seok Ahn, Pukyong National University, Division of Earth Environmental System Science, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South) and Tae-Seob Kang, Pukyong National University, Division of Earth Environmental System Science, Busan, South Korea
 
Discriminating Volcanic and Tectonic Events in Western El Salvador based on Spectral Characteristics (2005913)
Evelyn Susana Delgado Andino, Thomas Goebel and Diego Figueroa, University of Memphis, Center for Earthquake Research and Information, Memphis, United States
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