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Session Proposal: From Data to Decisions: Governing Water and Land Under Intensifying Aridification (AGU25)

GC050
From Data to Decisions: Governing Water and Land Under Intensifying Aridification

Session ID#: 251712

Session Description:
Aridification now affects over 2.3 billion people and 40% of Earth’s land, reshaping ecosystems and intensifying risks to food, water, health, and migration. This session explores the scientific foundations and societal implications of increasing aridity, highlighting how Earth and environmental sciences can guide equitable and effective adaptation. We invite abstracts presenting recent advances in aridity monitoring, climate modeling, and socio-environmental forecasting, as well as integrative approaches that combine traditional knowledge, early warning systems, and policy design. Contributions should demonstrate applications in land degradation assessment, drought governance, or sustainable water use, particularly in vulnerable dryland regions. Special emphasis will be placed on research that supports cross-scale adaptation strategies, international cooperation, and science-informed governance frameworks—aligned with recent UNCCD policy recommendations and global climate goals. This session connects Earth system science with real-world decisions to address one of the most underrecognized yet consequential drivers of global environmental change.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • SY - Science and Society
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4341 Early warning systems [NATURAL HAZARDS]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
Primary Convener:  Narcisa GABRIELA Pricope, Mississippi State University, Department of Geosciences, Mississippi State, MS, United States
Conveners:  Roger S Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States and Nichole N Barger, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Sara Alibakhshi, University of Helsinki, Department of Geosciences and Geography, Helsinki, Finland
 
The dilemma of global dryland management (Invited) (1847301)
Prof. Lixin Wang, PhD, Indiana University Indianapolis, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indianapolis, United States
 
From theory to operational water forecasts in drylands (Invited) (1855187)
Katerina Michaelides1, Andrés Edisson Quichimbo2, Dagmawi Asfaw3, George Blake3 and Michael Bliss Singer4, (1)University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom, (2)Cardiff University, School of Earth and Environmental Science, Cardiff, United Kingdom, (3)University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (4)Cardiff University, Water Research Institute, Cardiff, United Kingdom
 
Assessing Drought Impact and Systematic Resilience in the Texas Colorado River Basin: A Geospatial Framework for Adaptive Water Governance (1875608)
Priyanjali Bose, Texas State University San Marcos, Department of Geography & Environmental Studies, San Marcos, United States
 
From Global Evidence to Local Action: Enabling Governance Pathways for Aridification Adaptation (1921929)
Narcisa GABRIELA Pricope, Mississippi State University, Department of Geosciences, Mississippi State, MS, United States, Sergio M Vicente-Serrano, Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Zaragoza, Spain, Andrea Toreti, Institute for Environment and Sustainability JRC, Rome, Italy, Anahi Ocampo, University of Chile, Santiago, Chile and Sara Alibakhshi, University of Helsinki, Department of Geosciences and Geography, Helsinki, Finland
 
Rain Prayers Function as State-Level Indicators of Drought and Governance Stress (1970135)
Walid Ouaret1, Molly Elizabeth Brown1, Arthur Endsley2, Markus Enenkel3 and Tatiana V Loboda4, (1)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, (2)University of Montana, Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group, Missoula, United States, (3)Harvard University, Cambridge, United States, (4)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, United States
 
Seniority and Scarcity: Modeling Water Rights, Agricultural Responses, and Global Trade Linkages in the Western United States (2001947)
Kavitha Srikanth, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States