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Session Proposal: Cyclones in the Polar Regions: Dynamics, Impacts, and Future Changes (AGU25)

A047
Cyclones in the Polar Regions: Dynamics, Impacts, and Future Changes

Session ID#: 251793

Session Description:
The high-latitude regions experience a diverse range of cyclonic activity, from synoptic-scale Arctic (and Antarctic) cyclones to mesoscale polar lows. Their significant societal and economic impacts underscore the need for a robust understanding of the dynamical and physical processes involved in their development, their interactions with the broader climate system, and how they may evolve in response to ongoing environmental change and accelerated sea-ice loss. This session invites abstracts on studies that advance our understanding of high-latitude cyclones—their dynamics, impacts (including air-ice-sea interactions), and projected future changes and associated uncertainties. We welcome studies exploring connections between large-scale variability and cyclone activity, cyclone-related impacts on humans and the environment, as well as investigations into the physical processes driving cyclone development, such as coupled surface-atmosphere processes, stratosphere-troposphere interactions, orographic forcing, baroclinic and barotropic instability, and convective heating.
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3349 Polar meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener:  Kevin Boyd, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States
Conveners:  James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States, Steven M Cavallo, University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, School of Meteorology, Norman, United States and Xiangdong Zhang, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Kevin Boyd, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States
 
Predictability of Polar-Low Environments Using Deep-Learning Sensitivity Analysis (1853323)
Daniel Lloveras, US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, United States and James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, United States
 
Extratropical Cyclones as Buffers and Drivers of Changes in Surface Mass Balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet under Global Warming (1859372)
Dongze Xu, Deliang Chen and Yanluan Lin, Tsinghua University, Department of Earth System Science, Beijing, China
 
Observations of the Ocean’s Response to a Summer Arctic Cyclone and the Role of Precipitation and Surface Melt (1864170)
Sylvia T Cole, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States and Lilli Hirth, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States
 
Development of polar lows in forward and reverse shear environment and the role of moist processes (1864414)
Thomas Spengler and Markus Onarheim Løkken, University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute, Bergen, Norway
 
Classification of Arctic Cyclones Based on Their Intensification Mechanisms (1875527)
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States, Mingshi Yang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, United States, John E Walsh, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States and James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States
 
Pathway-Dependent Predictability of Arctic Cyclones in Physics-Based and Machine Learning Forecasts (1878989)
Mingshi Yang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, United States, Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States, James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States and John E Walsh, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States
 
Impact of surface sensible heat flux on the intensity and size of idealized polar lows (1898233)
Laurel Regibeau-Rockett, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, United States and James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States
 
Response of Changes in Sea Ice Thickness to Cyclones: New Insights from the MOSAiC Expedition (1904151)
Yu Liang1, Ruibo Lei2, Haibo Bi3 and Xianyao Chen1, (1)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (2)Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai, China, (3)Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao, China
 
The Sea Ice Response to Arctic Summer Cyclones: Insights from Reanalysis and In Situ Observations (Invited) (1919384)
Peter Finocchio, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, United States, Daniel P Stern, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States
 
Atmospheric Circulation Controls on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet Surface Mass Balance in the Twentieth Century (1921415)
Ella Hunter, University of Utah, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Salt Lake City, UT, United States, Courtenay Strong, University of Utah, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Salt Lake City, United States and Summer Rupper, University of Utah, School of Environment, Society, and Sustainability, Salt Lake City, United States
 
Mechanisms of Polar Low Development from a Shear Line (1924024)
Kevin Boyd, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States, James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States and Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States
 
Exploring the Impact of Polar Cyclones on Antarctic Sea Ice With a Brittle Sea Ice Rheology (1933495)
Gillian Cheong1, Christopher Horvat1, Rafael Santana2 and Melinda Webster3, (1)Brown University, Providence, RI, United States, (2)National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand, (3)University of Washington, Seattle, United States
 
Investigating Recent Arctic Cyclone Structure, Evolution, and Boundary Layer in the Community Atmosphere Model including sensitivity to the New CLUBB-MF Parameterization (1933952)
Ariel Jacobs1, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth2 and Cecilia M Bitz1, (1)University of Washington, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States, (2)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States
 
Coupled Characteristics of Arctic Cyclones and Tropopause Polar Vortices in the Community Earth System Model v2 (1940845)
Matthew Bray, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, United States and Steven M Cavallo, University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, School of Meteorology, Norman, United States
 
Accurate Extended Range Predictions of the Intense Arctic Cyclone of January 2022 (1948211)
David H Bromwich1, Lesheng Bai2 and Qian Xie2, (1)Ohio State University Main Campus, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Columbus, OH, United States, (2)Ohio State University Main Campus, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Columbus, United States
 
An Observed Seasonal Symmetry in Intense Cyclone Impacts on the Global Marginal Ice Zone (1951683)
Claire Mundi, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, WI, United States and Tristan L'Ecuyer, University of Wisconsin, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States
 
Characteristics of Tropopause Polar Vortex Formation in the Arctic (1970058)
Steven M Cavallo, University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, School of Meteorology, Norman, United States, Matthew Bray, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, United States and Daniel Keyser, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States
 
The Role of Diabatic Processes in the Genesis and Evolution of Summer Arctic Cyclones (1997632)
Han Tang1, Xiangdong Zhang2, Jing Zhang3, Benjamin R Hillman4, Erika Louise Roesler4, Milena Veneziani5 and Wilbert Weijer5, (1)North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States, (2)North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC, United States, (3)North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC, United States, (4)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (5)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
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