GC098
Stratospheric aerosol injection: assessing potential harms from limited deployment
Stratospheric aerosol injection: assessing potential harms from limited deployment
Session ID#: 252168
Session Description:
Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) of sulfate aerosols is the only form of solar radiation management that could potentially be deployed cost-effectively at scale. Doing so might temporarily reduce global warming to buy time for the global economy to decarbonize and carbon dioxide removal technologies to mature. Model simulations mostly indicate large net benefits from limited SAI deployment. However, these models may neglect or underestimate harms to humans or ecosystems via many physical and biogeochemical processes, such as altered precipitation patterns, increased sulfur pollution, or decreased crop yields. Potential harms are uncertain and possibly substantial. We solicit contributions working towards constraining the likelihood or magnitude of potential harms arising from a hemispherically-balanced SAI deployment offsetting less than half of radiative forcing. This could include model simulations, analysis of aerosol or other historical observations, or any research motivated by the eventual goal of quantitative cost-benefit comparison of SAI to inform international policy.
Co-Sponsor(s):
- A - Atmospheric Sciences
Index Terms:
1610 Atmosphere [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3311 Clouds and aerosols [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3363 Stratospheric dynamics [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener: B. B. Cael, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, United States
Conveners: David Keith, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, United States and Ken Caldeira, Gates Ventures, Kirkland, United States
See more of: Global Environmental Change