AI and Machine Learning for Improved Subseasonal-to-Seasonal-to-Decadal (S2S2D) Forecasts
AI and Machine Learning for Improved Subseasonal-to-Seasonal-to-Decadal (S2S2D) Forecasts
Session ID#: 279530
Session Description:
Reliable subseasonal-to-seasonal-to-decadal (S2S2D) forecasts are essential for managing economic risk and informing planning in sectors such as energy, agriculture, water resources, and transportation. The use of artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) increasingly shows the potential to improve both S2S2D forecast skill and the computational time and cost. This session invites contributions that apply AI/ML methods and models to S2S2D timescale predictions of temperature and precipitation—especially where there is demonstrable operational potential or measurable gains in skill. We welcome work ranging from fully AI-driven models to the integration of ML tools with traditional modeling frameworks and components. This includes bias correction, process diagnostics, post-processing of ensemble output, and model explainability. Additionally, we encourage submissions that show how AI-driven innovations can strengthen model reliability, reduce costs, and support the delivery of actionable forecasts across public and private sectors.
Index Terms:
0545 Modeling [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
0555 Neural networks, fuzzy logic, machine learning [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3238 Prediction [MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS]
Primary Convener: Mark A Olsen, NOAA, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research/Weather Program Office, Silver Spring, United States
Conveners: Nachiketa Acharya, Pennsylvania State University, Center for Earth System Modeling, Analysis, and Data (ESMAD), University Park, United States, Marybeth Arcodia, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States, Christine Bassett, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States and Johnna Infanti, Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Student/Early Career Convener: Margaret Orr Hoeflich, NOAA Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Weather Program Office, Silver Spring, United States
See more of: Atmospheric Sciences