Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) Slowdown/Shutdown: Likelihood, Consequences, Response Options
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) Slowdown/Shutdown: Likelihood, Consequences, Response Options
Session ID#: 280234
Session Description:
The slowdown or shutdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is widely considered a potential tipping point in Earth’s climate system, with potentially catastrophic consequences.
This interdisciplinary session examines questions spanning climate physics, climate impacts, and response options:
This interdisciplinary session examines questions spanning climate physics, climate impacts, and response options:
- How likely is an AMOC slowdown or shutdown under different climate pathways, and how well can we predict its timing and magnitude?
- What physical climate changes would result, and how would these affect humans and natural ecosystems?
- What strategies, including adaptation, mitigation, and climate intervention, might reduce risk or ameliorate consequences?
We emphasize priorities for action today:
- How can we improve monitoring and prediction of AMOC slowdown?
- How can we improve predictions of its impacts?
- How can we better understand societal and ecological consequences, and possible adaptive responses?
- What research could provide more confidence regarding whether proposed interventions, such as ice-sheet stabilization or solar geoengineering, could reduce AMOC-related risks?
Co-Sponsor(s):
- A - Atmospheric Sciences
- B - Biogeosciences
- C - Cryosphere
- OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:
1605 Abrupt/rapid climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener: Ken Caldeira, Gates Ventures, Kirkland, United States; Stanford University, Stanford, United States
Convener: Dr. Mahendra Nimmakanti, PhD, Indian Institute of Sciences, Bangalore, India
Student/Early Career Convener: Lauren Moody, Stanford University, Dept. of Earth System Science, Stanford, United States
See more of: Global Environmental Change