Atmospheric Dynamics of Wildfire Smoke in a Warming Climate: From Plume Rise and Pyroconvection to Long-Range Transport and Population Exposure

Session ID#: 281265

Session Description:
Wildfire smoke is a major and growing driver of population exposure to air pollution across much of the Northern Hemisphere, with recent record-breaking events revealing the limits of current forecast skill. This gap reflects atmospheric physics that remain incompletely resolved across many scales, including plume-rise thermodynamics, pyroconvection, boundary-layer entrainment, mesoscale transport, and long-range advection, which together determine where, when, and at what concentrations smoke reaches populations as fire regimes intensify under a warming climate. This session invites observational, theoretical, and modeling studies on the dynamics of wildfire smoke transport and dispersion. Topics include plume rise and pyroconvection; boundary-layer mixing and entrainment; mesoscale and long-range transport; smoke radiative effects and aerosol-dynamics feedbacks; observational constraints from satellite, airborne, and ground-based measurements; coupled fire-atmosphere and chemistry-transport modeling; physics-informed machine learning; and propagation of dynamical uncertainty into exposure estimates. We welcome contributions connecting plume-scale physics to continental-scale predictability and population exposure.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • GH - GeoHealth
  • IN - Informatics
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

0305 Aerosols and particles [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0345 Pollution: urban and regional [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
3319 General circulation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener:  Yanrui Li, University Of Toronto Schools, Toronto, ON, Canada
Convener:  Jianxiong Sheng, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Global Change Science, Cambridge, United States
See more of: Atmospheric Sciences