AI Risk × Earth-System Stress: Coupled Vulnerabilities Across Hazard, Institutional, and Governance Timescales

Session ID#: 281490

Session Description:
AI offers unprecedented opportunities for climate adaptation, hazard response, and environmental governance, yet we are not thinking enough about the risks when these tools fail under the nonstationary, extreme, and compounding conditions they were designed to address. This session examines the coupling between accelerating AI deployment and escalating Earth-system stress across three timescales. Acute (hours–days): During compound hazards, AI-driven forecasts and emergency systems become critical single points of failure. What are the consequences of AI breakdown during out-of-distribution events? Institutional (seasons–decades): Agencies depend on AI for water allocation, insurance pricing, and infrastructure planning. How does automation bias interact with climate nonstationarity? Governance (decades–century): Autonomous monitoring and AI-optimized grids raise accountability questions when algorithms operate beyond human deliberation speed. By confronting these risks, the community can build resilience to realize AI's transformative potential. We welcome contributions spanning AI failure modes, compound risk, resilience, and governance of autonomous environmental systems.
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1942 Machine learning [INFORMATICS]
4333 Disaster risk analysis and assessment [NATURAL HAZARDS]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
Primary Convener:  Gunther Kletetschka, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute, Fairbanks, United States
Conveners:  Auroop Ganguly, Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, United States and Amir AghaKouchak, University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
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