Daily Temperature Records in a Warming Climate

Maria J Molina, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and Claudia Tebaldi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Abstract:
The ratio of daily record high maximum temperatures to daily record low minimum temperatures in the first decade of the 21st century was about 2 to 1. Previous model simulations also showed a comparable ratio, with projections of an increase in that ratio in the 21st century. Here we relate record highs and record lows to changing surface conditions in 1 degree and 0.5 degree resolution global coupled climate models for 20th and 21st century climate to address the issue of model resolution in simulating past and future changes of temperature extremes as represented by daily record highs and lows.