Importance of the Pre-Industrial Baseline in Determining the Likelihood of Exceeding the Paris Limits
Michael E Mann1, Andrew P Schurer2, Ed Hawkins3, Simon FB Tett4 and Gabriele C Hegerl2, (1)Pennsylvania State University, Philadelphia, United States, (2)University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9, United Kingdom, (3)University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, Edinburgh, United Kingdom