Prediction and predictability of tropical intraseasonal convection: seasonal dependence and the Maritime Continent prediction barrier


Shuguang Wang, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, New York, United States, Michael Tippett, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, United States and Frederic Vitart, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield, United Kingdom