GC54A:
Observed and Projected Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources, Agriculture, and Health I


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 59054

Session Description:
As the world’s population continues to grow, there are increased demands on food and water. Changes in global and regional climate patterns may disrupt local weather, alter the frequency and duration of wet and dry spells, and affect precipitation and temperature variability. These variations may adversely affect food and water security, as well as health and agriculture. This session will focus on observed and projected changes to all aspects of the hydrologic cycle and attendant impacts on agricultural systems, groundwater and water supply, and food security issues and implications. We encourage submissions on: (i) research exploring observed and projected hydrologic changes, (ii) the implications of recent droughts for health, food supplies, food availability, and food security, (iii) research exploring how climate influences food supplies, prices, and stability, and (iv) the implications of increased air temperatures on water resources, health, agriculture, social and economic systems and/or conflict.
Primary Convener:  Chris C Funk, U.S. Geological Survey EROS Center / FEWS NET, Sioux Falls, United States
Conveners:  Kathryn Grace, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, United States, Shraddhanand Shukla, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Jeroen Aerts, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands
Primary Liaison:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States
Chairs:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States, Shraddhanand Shukla, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Jeroen Aerts, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands and Andrew Verdin, Stantec Consulting Ltd, Minneapolis, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • GH - GeoHealth
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

0240 Public health [GEOHEALTH]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1803 Anthropogenic effects [HYDROLOGY]
4329 Sustainable development [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Drought adaptation behaviour of agricultural stakeholders: An Agent Based Model for Kenya (404280)
Marthe Wens, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Water and Climate Risk, Amsterdam, Netherlands, J Michael Johnson, University of California Santa Barbra, Geography, Santa Barbra, Denmark, Ted Veldkamp, Hogeschool van Amsterdam, Urban Technology, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Jeroen Aerts, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands and Ralph Lasage, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Climate-forced crop yield variability and synchronous crop failures (354966)
Weston B Anderson, University of Maryland, College Park, Geographical Sciences, College Park, United States, Richard Seager, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, Walter Baethgen, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States and Mark A Cane, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States
Correlated soil moisture and temperature extremes and potential biases in climate impact projections (447331)
Nathan Mueller, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, Angela Jean Rigden, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, Ethan E Butler, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States, Peter J Huybers, Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States, Paul Alexander Levine, United States and James Tremper Randerson, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, United States
Economic Analysis of Climatic and Agricultural Impacts of Nuclear War (425948)
Hainan Zhang1, Gal Hochman2, Lili Xia3, Jonas Jägermeyr4, Alan Robock3, Saketh Aleti5 and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe6, (1)Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (2)Associate Professor, Department of Agriculture, Food & Resource Economics, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (3)Rutgers University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (4)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (5)Researcher, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (6)Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Climate change as one of multiple overlapping pressures for future agriculture and food security: AgMIP projections and solution pathways (Invited) (350523)
Alexander C Ruane1, John M Antle2, Joshua Wright Elliott3, Christoph Müller4, Cynthia Rosenzweig1 and Roberto O Valdivia5, (1)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (2)Oregon State University, Applied Economics, Corvallis, OR, United States, (3)University of Chicago, Department of Computer Science, Chicago, IL, United States, (4)University of East Anglia, Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, United Kingdom, (5)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
Are Recent Hydro-Climatic Shifts over Central America consistent with what we expect from Global Warming? (419631)
Iris T Stewart, Ph.D., Santa Clara University, Environmental Studies and Sciences, Santa Clara, CA, United States and Edwin P Maurer, Santa Clara University, Civil, Environmental, and Sustainable Engineering Department, Santa Clara, CA, United States
Recent Water Availability Trends and Mid-21st Century Projections in East Africa (400027)
Laura Harrison1, Amy McNally2,3, Shraddhanand Shukla1, Narcisa GABRIELA Pricope4, Chris C Funk5,6, Gideon Galu7 and Gregory J Husak1, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD, United States, (4)Mississippi State University, Department of Geosciences, Mississippi State, United States, (5)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (6)U.S. Geological Survey EROS Center / FEWS NET, Sioux Falls, United States, (7)FEWS NET, Nairobi, Kenya

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