Developing probabilistic tephra fallout hazard maps for Cotopaxi and Guagua Pichincha volcanoes, Ecuador, with uncertainty quantification

Alessandro Tadini1, Olivier Roche2, Pablo Samaniego3, Arnaud Guillin4, Nourddine Azzaoui4, Mathieu Gouhier5, Andrea Bevilacqua6, Mattia De' Michieli Vitturi7, Federica Pardini7, Benjamin Bernard8, Willy Aspinall9,10, Julia Eychenne5, Silvana Hidalgo8, Jean-Luc Le Pennec11, Augusto Neri6, Raffaello Cioni12, Marco Pistolesi13, Helen E Gaunt14, Silvia Vallejo Vargas15, Marjorie Encalada16, Hugo A Yepes17, Antonio Proaño18,19 and Mia Pique8, (1)Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, Clermont-Ferrand Cedex, France, (2)Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans - IRD, Aubière, France, (3)Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, IRD, OPGC, Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, Clermont-Ferrand, France, (4)Laboratoire de Mathématiques Blaise Pascal, Aubière, France, (5)Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, Aubière, France, (6)INGV National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Pisa, Italy, (7)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Pisa, Pisa, Italy, (8)Instituto Geofisico EPN - Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador, (9)Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, (10)University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, (11)IRD, Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, Quito, Ecuador, (12)University of Firenze, Firenze, Italy, (13)University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy, (14)Instituto Geofísico de la Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Quito, Ecuador, (15)Geophisic Institute, Quito, Ecuador, (16)Instituto Geofisco EPN - Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador, (17)Escuela Politecnica Nacional, Quito, Ecuador, (18)Trieste, Italy, (19)Instituto Geofísico, Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Quito, Ecuador