Winter rainfall decline in Southern Africa: when can we expect another “Day Zero” Cape Town drought?

Salvatore Pascale1, Sarah B Kapnick1, Thomas L Delworth2 and William Cooke3, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States