Early forecast of long-period ground motions for large earthquakes in the Nankai trough based on data assimilation of observed ground motions and wave propagation simulations

Oba Atsuki, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, Takashi Furumura, ERI, Univ. Tokyo, Bunkyo-Ku, Japan and Takuto Maeda, Graduate School of Science and Technology, Hirosaki University, Hirosaki, Japan