Irina Danilovich¹, Sergey Zhuravlev Dr.², Lubov Kurochkina² and Pavel Groisman^3,4, (1)Institute for Nature Management National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Centre for Climate Researches, Minsk, Belarus, (2)Russian State Hydrological Institute, St.Petersburg, Russia, (3)Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Moscow, Russia, (4)North Carolina State University, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, United States