Tropical cyclone activity prediction on subseasonal time-scales

Suzana J Camargo1, Chia-Ying Lee1, Frederic Vitart2, Adam H Sobel3,4, Michael Tippett3, Shuguang Wang3 and Joanne Camp5, (1)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, (3)Columbia University, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, NY, United States, (4)Columbia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, New York, NY, United States, (5)UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom