Matteo Giuliani¹, Marta Zaniolo¹, Andrea Castelletti¹, Guido Davoli^2,3 and Paul J Block⁴, (1)Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy, (2)Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy, (3)Ca' Foscari University, Venice, Italy, (4)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, WI, United States