Assessing Runoff Risk to Support Nutrient Application Timing Using a Hybrid of Physically-based and Statistical Models—an Application of National Water Model

Yao Hu1, Lindsay Fitzpatrick1, Dustin Goering2, Lacey Mason3, Lauren M Fry4, Laura Read5, Andrea Thorstensen2 and Brent M Lofgren3, (1)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)NOAA/NWS/North Central River Forecast Center, Chanhassen, MN, United States, (3)NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)US Army Corps of Engineers - Detroit District, Office of Great Lakes Hydraulics and Hydrology, Detroit, MI, United States, (5)University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States