Flavio Lehner¹, Andy Wood¹, Julie A Vano², David M Lawrence¹, Martyn P Clark³ and Justin S Mankin^4,5, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Saskatchewan Coldwater Laboratory, Canmore, Canada, (4)LDEO of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (5)Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States