Operational earthquake forecasting during the M6.4 Searles Valley and M7.1 Ridgecrest sequence using the UCERF3-ETAS model—evaluation and lessons learned

Kevin R Milner1, Edward H Field2, William H Savran3, Thomas H Jordan3, Morgan Page4, Maximilian J Werner5 and The Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities, (1)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)USGS, Denver, CO, United States, (3)Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (4)USGS Geological Survey, Pasadena, CA, United States, (5)University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom