Using Model Ensembles and Stochastic Parameter Perturbations to Forecast Severe and Hazardous Weather
Evan Anthony Kalina1,2, Isidora Jankov3,4, Judith Berner5, Trevor Alcott6, Joseph Olson7, David Dowell8, Jeff Beck3 and Curtis Alexander9, (1)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (4)NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)NOAA, ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (8)NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, United States, (9)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States