Evaluating Simulation-Based Earthquake Forecasts with Examples from UCERF3-ETAS

Maximilian J Werner1, William H Savran2, David Alan Rhoades3, Warner Marzocchi4, David D Jackson5, Andrew Jay Michael6 and Philip J Maechling2, (1)University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom, (2)Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)GNS Science-Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences Ltd, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, (4)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy, (5)UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (6)USGS, Menlo Park, CA, United States