A112
Regional climate: modeling, analysis, and impacts

Session ID#: 76761

Session Description:
This session focuses on the state of the art in modeling and analysis of regional climate and regional climate impacts on subseasonal-to-multidecadal timescales. Contributions are solicited on coordinated modeling experiments such as CORDEX; novel approaches for model evaluation and analysis, especially process-oriented analysis of climate extremes in observations and simulations; new developments such as coupled earth system modeling at regional scales and convection permitting simulations; ensemble methods and uncertainty analyses; and assessing the added value of regional modeling. Results from the use of regional models for process understanding, downscaling of IPCC climate change scenarios, and modeling and analysis of climate impacts are also encouraged.
Index Terms:

1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3355 Regional modeling [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Primary Convener:  L. Ruby Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Conveners:  Melissa S Bukovsky, National Center for Atmospheric Research, CISL&RAL/RISC, Boulder, CO, United States and Paul Aaron Ullrich, Univ California Davis, Fremont, CA, United States
Primary Liaison:  L. Ruby Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Projected Mean and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation over Central Asia Results from Dynamical Downscaling and CCSM4 (486731)
Xian Zhu and Zhenming Ji, Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Zhuhai, China
 
Projected changes in autumn rainfall over West China: Results from an ensemble of dynamical downscaling simulations (486903)
Jia Wu, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
 
Impact of lake surface temperature variations on lake effect snow over the Great Lakes region (487757)
Qi Shi, Michigan Technological University, Great Lakes Research Center, Houghton, MI, United States and Pengfei Xue, Michigan Technological University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houghton, MI, United States
 
Humidity variations spanning the Little Ice Age in an upland lake in southwest China (487951)
Tingwei Zhang and Xiaoqiang Yang, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
 
California Precipitation Extremes in a Warming Climate: Linking Large-Scale Forcing from CESM Large Ensemble to Fine-Scale Weather Features (Invited) (491712)
Xingying Huang1, Neil Berg1, Daniel L Swain1,2, Daniel Walton3 and Alexander D Hall1, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (3)Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
 
Dynamically Downscaled Climate Change Projections for South and Southeast Asia: Mean and Extreme Monsoon Precipitation Changes and Physics Parameterization Impacts (495909)
Yiling Huo, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada and W Richard Peltier, Univ Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
 
A large ensemble approach to quantifying internal model variability in the Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF) model (496290)
Richard Bassett, Paul J Young, Gordon S Blair, Faiza Samreen and William Simm, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom
 
Understanding Sources of Model Uncertainty Through Diagnostic Characteristics of the Great Plains Low-Level Jet (497409)
Alexandra Caruthers1, Raymond W Arritt2, Melissa S Bukovsky3 and William J Gutowski Jr2, (1)Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States, (2)Iowa State Univ, Ames, IA, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, CISL&RAL/RISC, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Inter-model diversity of regional climate in 15℃ and 17℃ worlds (498510)
So-Jung Shin, Yonsei University, Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul, South Korea, Soon-Il An, Yonsei University, Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South) and Sang-Wook Yeh, Hanyang University, Department of Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Ansan, South Korea
 
Evaluating fine-resolution, regional outputs of a variable resolution global climate model (508748)
Alan V Di Vittorio, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Zexuan Xu, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, United States, Jie Zhang Dr., National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China, Xiaoge Xin, China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Center, Beiging, China, Hongmei Xu, China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Centre, Beijing, China and Chan Xiao, China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Center, Beijing, China
 
Regional Modeling Studies in the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Mexico and Caribbean) Domain (Invited) (512081)
Tereza Cavazos, Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education at Ensenada, B.C. (CICESE), Ensenada, Mexico and Rosa B. Luna-Niño (CICESE), Ruth Cerezo-Mota (UNAM), Gabriela Colorado-Ruiz (CICESE), Oscar Manuel García Santiago (CICESE), José Abraham Torres-Alavez (ICTP), Hugo Hidalgo (Universidad de Costa Rica), and José Antonio Salinas (IMTA)
 
Evolution Characteristics of Drought-Flood Abrupt Alternation in Typical Area of Southeast China (514499)
Wuxia Bi, Baisha Weng, Yan Denghua and Hao Wang, State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Department of Water Resources, Beijing, China
 
An ensemble approach to attribute highly localised deep moist convection events in a changing climate using a convection permitting regional model under pseudo-warming conditions. (514601)
Jens H Christensen1, Dominic Matte1, Rasmus A Pedersen2, Henrik Vedel2 and Henrik Feddersen2, (1)Niels Bohr Institute, København Ø, Denmark, (2)Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Integration of Observational Data and Dynamical Downscaling for Projections of Future Winds in Alaska (518978)
John E Walsh1, Kyle Redilla1, Sarah Pearl2 and Peter Bieniek3, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (2)Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States, (3)International Arctic Research Center, Fairbanks, AK, United States
 
Projecting the Future Vegetation-Climate System over East Asia and its RCP-Dependence (520538)
Weiguang Liu1,2, Guiling Wang2, Miao Yu1, Haishan Chen1 and Yelin Jiang3, (1)Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, (2)University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Groton, CT, United States, (3)University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States
 
Regionalization and Trend Analysis of Cold Air Outbreaks across the Globe (523423)
Erik Tyler Smith and Scott C Sheridan, Kent State University Kent Campus, Kent, OH, United States
 
Comparison of Modeling Results according to the Application of Ensemble Technique in Predicting the Distribution of Species in Response to Climate Change (530329)
YoungJae Yoo1, Seong-Woo Jeon1 and Hyun Chan Sung2, (1)Korea University, Environmental Science & Ecological Engineering, Seoul, South Korea, (2)Environmental GIS/RS Center, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea
 
Regional Climate Impact Assessment of Vegetation Change in Loess Plateau: Combining WRF-NOAH Model and Long Time Series Satellite Observations (537147)
Siliang LIU, Wuhan University, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan, China and Liang Shunlin, University of Maryland College Park, Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States
 
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation values in the Yucatan Peninsula (1980-2010). (540869)
Ruth Cerezo-Mota1, Matías Méndez Pérez2, Luis Felipe Pineda3, Tereza Cavazos4 and Leonardo Quirino Olvera2, (1)UNAM National Autonomous University of Mexico, Instituto de Ingeniería, LIPC, Mexico City, Mexico, (2)Universidad Veracruzana, Xalapa, Mexico, (3)Autonomous University of Zacatecas, Zacatecas, Mexico, (4)CICESE, Baja California, Mexico
 
Assessment of WRF Sensitivity to Physical Parameterizations for a Heat Wave Simulation in Kansas City Metro Area (540883)
Fengpeng Sun1, Lili Zhu1,2 and Tim Li3, (1)University of Missouri Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, United States, (2)Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China, (3)Univ Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, United States
 
The Benefits of Using High-Resolution Sea Surface Temperatures for Simulating Historical and Future Climate Extremes (543876)
Jared Bowden, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States, Tanya Spero, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States, Kristen Foley, EPA, Office of Research and Development, Durham, NC, United States, Adam Terando, Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, United States, Anna Jalowska, US Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, Environmental Futures Analysis Branch, Durham, NC, United States, Megan Mallard, US EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States, Ryan E Emanuel, North Carolina State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, Raleigh, NC, United States and Jaime Collazo, USGS, North Carolina Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Raleigh, NC, United States
 
One Approach for Downscaling Climate Change Data Towards Regional Implications in Climate Change Scenarios: The Case for Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. (546175)
Myron Robert King, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, NL, Canada
 
Evaluating the Ability of RCMs to Simulate the Link between ENSO and US Drought (549409)
Yog Aryal and Jianting Zhu, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, United States
 
Downscaling IPCC Scenarios to the Hourly Level: Projected Changes in Energy Demand and Chill Hours in California (549517)
David W Pierce, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States and Daniel R Cayan, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States
 
A Multimodel Technique for Estimating Future Changes in Extreme Precipitation (549801)
Abhishekh Kumar Srivastava, University of California Davis, Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, VA, United States, Richard Grotjahn, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Paul Aaron Ullrich, Univ California Davis, Fremont, CA, United States
 
Assessment of climate change impact over California for wintertime using dynamic downscaling with a bias correction technique (551595)
Zhan Zhao1, Pingkuan Di1, Shu-Hua Chen2, Jeremy Avise1,3, Ajith P Kaduwela1,4 and John DaMassa1, (1)California Air Resources Board, Sacramento, CA, United States, (2)University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States, (3)Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (4)UC-Davis Air Quality Research Center, Davis, CA, United States
 
Convection Parameterization Sensitivity and Hurricane Statistics over the Inter-Americas region (553373)
Julio Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile, John Mejia, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, United States, Arnoldo Bezanilla, Institute of Meteorology, Atmospheric Physics Centre, Havana, Cuba, Diana Pozo, Universidad de Valparaiso, Meteorology, Valparaiso, Chile, Alejandro Vichot, Institute of Meteorology, Atmospheric Physics Center, Havana, Cuba and Israel Borrajero, Institutte of Meteorology, Atmospheric Physics Center, Havana, Cuba
 
Minnesota’s Rapidly Changing Climate: Downscaled Projections From CMIP5 Using WRF (556288)
Tracy E Twine1, Stefan Liess2, Terin Mayer3, Ryan Noe3, Peter K Snyder4, Kate A Brauman5 and Bonnie Keeler6, (1)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Department of Soil, Water, and Climate, St. Paul, MN, United States, (2)University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, United States, (3)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, United States, (4)U of MN-Soil, Water & Climate, St. Paul, MN, United States, (5)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States, (6)University of Minnesota, The Natural Capital Project, St Paul, MN, United States
 
Multi-model analysis of bias corrected and non-bias corrected RCM simulations for the assessment of uncertainties and representation of orographic impacts in Mediterranean Region (556451)
Elcin Kentel1, Buket Mesta2 and Omer Burak Akgun1, (1)Middle East Technical University, Department of Civil Engineering, Ankara, Turkey, (2)Middle East Technical University, Earth System Sciences Program, Ankara, Turkey
 
Dynamical downscaling of near-term internal climate variability and change for the main Hawaiian Islands using WRF ensemble simulations (559998)
Katrina Fandrich1, Oliver Elison Timm1, Thomas W Giambelluca2 and Chunxi Zhang3, (1)State University of New York at Albany, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States, (2)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, (3)University of Oklahoma, Norman, United States
 
Effects of Observational Dataset Choice on Multivariate Bias Correction (563067)
Seth A McGinnis, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Melissa S Bukovsky, National Center for Atmospheric Research, CISL&RAL/RISC, Boulder, CO, United States, Rachel Rose McCrary, National Center for Atmospheric Research, CISL/IMAGe/RISC, Boulder, CO, United States and Linda Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Differential Credibility of Statistical and Dynamical Downscaled Future Climate Projectionsin the Southern Great Plains (566625)
Linda Mearns1, Melissa S Bukovsky2, Rachel Rose McCrary3, Seth A McGinnis1, Koichi Sakaguchi4, L. Ruby Leung5 and Sara C Pryor6, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, CISL&RAL/RISC, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, CISL/IMAGe/RISC, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)PNNL / Climate Physics, Richland, WA, United States, (5)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (6)Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, United States
 
Quantification of temperature inversion change by wind and daily temperature range on the sloping surface (569891)
Soo-ock Kim, Eun-Jeong Yun, Daejun Kim and Jin-Hee Kim, National Center for AgroMeteorology, Seoul, South Korea
 
Quantifications of solar irradiance and wind effect on daytime air temperature distribution in complex terrain (571506)
Eun-Jeong Yun1, Soo-ock Kim2, Jin-Hee Kim2 and Daejun Kim2, (1)National Center for AgroMeteorology, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)National Center for AgroMeteorology, Seoul, South Korea
 
Hybrid downscaling systems using high-resolution regional climate model information (574887)
Yasutaka Wakazuki1,2, Ibuki Sugino3 and Naoyuki Yonekawa3, (1)Ibaraki University, Mito, Japan, (2)Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan, (3)Ibaraki University, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Mito, Japan
 
Global Projections of Changes in Köppen-Trewartha Climate Zones Derived from RegCM CORDEX-CORE Simulations (580037)
Michal Belda1, Tomas Halenka1 and RegCM CORDEX-CORE Team, (1)Charles University, Dept. of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, 180, Czech Republic
 
Evaluation of Downscaled Earth System Models at High Horizontal Resolution to Represent Climate Extremes in Brazil (580262)
Alvaro Avila, Universidade Federal de Vicosa, Vicosa, Brazil, Flavio B Justino, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Viçosa, MNG, Brazil, Gabriel Abrahão, UFV Federal University of Vicosa, Vicosa, Brazil, Roger Rodrigues Sr, Professor, Universidade Federal de Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil and Aaron Wilson, The Ohio State University, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Columbus, OH, United States
 
Future Projection of the Regional Vegetation-Climate System over Asia: Comparison between two ensemble approaches (584996)
Guiling Wang, University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Groton, CT, United States, Weiguang Liu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China and Miao Yu, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, United States
 
Cross-Scale Evaluation of WRF / Noah-MP-Crop Yield Simulations (585917)
Trevor Partridge1, Jonathan Winter2, Anthony D Kendall3, David W Hyndman3 and Stephanie Anne Spera4, (1)Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States, (2)Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States, (3)Michigan State University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States, (4)Brown University, Providence, RI, United States
 
Investigating the Impact of Land Cover Change on the Northern Great Plains (591519)
Kaela Lucke, Aaron Keith Scott, Aaron D Kennedy and Jon Starr, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND, United States
 
How well RegCM reproduces mesoscale atmospheric phenomena in the Mexican neighborhood? (604530)
Jose Antonio Salinas, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua, Cuernavaca, Mexico, Maria Eugenia Maya, IMTA Mexican Institute of Water Technology, Hydrometeorology, Jiutepec, MR, Mexico and Constantina Hernandez Martinez, IMTA Mexican Institute of Water Technology, Hydrometeorology, Jiutepec, Mexico
 
Declining Surface Water Availability Projected for the Athabasca River Basin, Water Source for Canadian Tar Sands Extraction, Using CORDEX (604742)
Jeannine-Marie St-Jacques, Concordia University, Geography, Planning and Environment, Montreal, QC, Canada, Marc-Olivier Brault, Concordia University, GPE, Montreal, QC, Canada, Yuliya Andreichuk, University of Regina, Regina, SK, Canada, Sunil Gurrapu, National Institute of Hydrology, Uttarakhand, India and David Sauchyn, University of Regina, Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative (PARC), Regina, SK, Canada
 
Extreme weather impact assessments in arid and semi-arid regions through sub-seasonal regional climate forecasting (614159)
Hsin-I Chang, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, Christopher L Castro, University of Arizona, Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, Thang Luong, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia and Christoforus Bayu Risanto, The University of Arizona, Tucson, United States
 
Regional large multi-ensemble downscaling in CORDEX Asia (633571)
Koji Dairaku, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan
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