H036
Co-management of Floods and Droughts under Climate Change

Session ID#: 77223

Session Description:
Environmental and water resource systems face increasing stress from extreme events, exacerbated by deeply uncertain climate change. Moreover, flood and drought related risks are becoming more tightly coupled - as water resource related demands grow and the timing or location of available supplies are altered due to climate change. This motivates a need for improved decision support tools. Including those which generate credible scenarios of flood and drought extremes, capture feedbacks between the climate system and human decisions and model a wide range of water resource related vulnerabilities in multi-objective systems. We solicit: (1) improved methods for climate scenario development, especially those that enable probabilistic inference by linking scenarios of flood or drought to their physical climate drivers; (2) demonstrations of climate impact assessments in multi-objective systems (including, for example, urban-rural, wet season-dry season, quality-quantity, or upstream-downstream tradeoffs); and (3) adaptive policies to cope with irreducible climate uncertainties.
Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1821 Floods [HYDROLOGY]
1873 Uncertainty assessment [HYDROLOGY]

Primary Convener:  Patrick A Ray, University of Cincinnati Main Campus, Cincinnati, OH, United States
Conveners:  Sungwook Wi, University of Massachusetts, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Amherst, MA, United States, John R. Kucharski, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, CA, United States and Scott Steinschneider, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States
Primary Liaison:  John R. Kucharski, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, CA, United States
 
The sensitivity of hydrologic extreme events to climate change: How changes in precipitation and temperature alter flood-generation processes (497346)
Oriana Chegwidden and Bart Nijssen, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
 
A Framework for Flood Risk Management under Non-Stationary Climate Conditions: Performance Evaluation of Continuous vs. Event Based Simulations (510619)
Saiful Rahat, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, United States and Scott Steinschneider, John Kucharski, Wyatt Arnold,Jenifer Olzewski,Wesley Walker,Asphota Wasti,Romain Maendly, Patrick Ray
 
Planning for Change: Challenges and Opportunities in California (512613)
Romain Maendly, California Department of Water Resources, Climate Change Program, Sacramento, CA, United States, John R. Kucharski, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, CA, United States, Wyatt Arnold, California Department of Water Resources, Water Resources, Sacramento, CA, United States, Saiful Rahat, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, United States, David Arrate, California Department of Water Resources, Division of Planning, Sacramento, CA, United States, Jennifer Olszewski, US Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources, Alexandria, VA, United States, Scott Steinschneider, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, Patrick Ray, University of Cincinnati Main Campus, College of Engineering and Applied Science, Cincinnati, OH, United States and Wesley Walker, MBK Engineers, Sacramento, CA, United States
 
Assessment of Future Drought Risk Considering Drought Hazard and Socio-Hydrologic Vulnerability (514417)
Joo-Heon Lee1, Jong-Suk Kim2, Seo-Yeon Park3, Yeon-Hwa Jo3, Chanyang Sur3 and Si-Jung Choi4, (1)Joongbu University, Civil Engineering, Goyang-si, South Korea, (2)Wuhan University, Wuhan, China, (3)Joongbu University, Go Yang, South Korea, (4)KICT Korea Institute of Construction Technology, Goyang, South Korea
 
Robust Adaptation of Multi-Objective Reservoir Operations to Snowpack Decline Under Climate Change (522515)
Jonathan S Cohen, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States, Harrison Bray Zeff, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, United States and Jonathan D Herman, University of California Davis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States
 
A Generation Method of the Heavy Rainfall Intensity for Flood Risk Assessment Incorporating Uncertainties of Climate Scenarios (528272)
Hiroki Minakawa, Nat. Inst. Rural Engineering, Tsukuba, Japan
 
Designing Strategies to Jointly Manage the Financial Risk of Wet and Dry Periods for Hydropower Generators in a Changing Market (555709)
Simona Denaro1, Joy Hill1, Yufei Su1, Jordan Kern2 and Gregory W Characklis3, (1)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, United States, (2)North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States, (3)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
 
Lower freshet, higher low-flow runoff and occasional floods in European Russia: climate change drives transformation of river runoff regime in the end of the 20th century – beginning of the 21th century. (584020)
Ekaterina Rets1, Maria Kireeva2, Timofey Samsonov2 and Natalia Frolova2, (1)Water Problems Institute RAS, Moscow, Russia, (2)Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
 
Projected Changes in Reservoir Sedimentation in the Continental U.S. (590275)
Ariane O Pinson, US Army Corps of Engineers, Albuquerque, NM, United States, Pierre Y Julien, Colorado State University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Tessa Hill, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab, Hanover, NH, United States and Kathleen D White, US Army Corps of Engineers Washington DC, Washington, DC, United States
 
Experimental Study of Flood mitigation by an Engineered Levee Breach (595069)
Ibrahim ADIL Ibrahim1, Melih Calamak Sr.2, Lindsey LaRocque2 and Jasim Imran3, (1)University of South Carolina Columbia, Columbia, SC, United States, (2)University of South Carolina, Columbia, United States, (3)Univ South Carolina, Columbia, SC, United States
 
Quantifying the Spatial Coherence of Deficit and Excess Rainfall Across the Continental United States (602609)
Jeongwoo Hwang and Naresh Devineni, CUNY City College, Department of Civil Engineering, New York, NY, United States
 
Extreme Precipitation Volatility and Challenges for Managing Threatened and Endangered Aquatic Species in California’s Sacramento – San Joaquin Bay Delta Ecosystem (605760)
Craig Anderson, US Department of Interior, Sacramento, CA, United States
 
Evapotranspiration calibration approaches for continuous precipitation-runoff modeling under future climate scenarios (632468)
Thomas Brauer, Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, CA, United States
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