SH025
Space Weather Research and Forecasting: End Users, Impacts, and Tomorrow's Monitoring Capabilities.

Session ID#: 77736

Session Description:
Year-on-year civilization advancement means that society becomes even-more reliant on energy-supplies/technologies susceptible to damage/interruption from space weather (SW). Thus, new capabilities are being imagined and/or realized (missions/infrastructures/models) to improve SW forecasting, our understanding of SW impacts, and to provide end users the solutions they require across many sectors (power, GNSS-positioning/timing, spacecraft/satellite operations, transport/communications, etc.).

As the session's fifth incarnation (since 2015), the focus specifically turns to end users and what their requirements are for the current/future ground-/space-based SW capabilities and data/modelling products. Multiple ongoing international studies are scoping the options for sustained/improved SW observations/measurements/modelling that include novel models, instrumentation, satellites, and spacecraft with multi-national collaborations becoming ever-more important/necessary. It is critical that end users are fully engaged in the process to best-realize their specific needs going forward.

We solicit contributions of: ideas/discussions regarding specifying end-user needs/requirements; economic impacts; developing SW architectures that meet end-user requirements; and wider international collaborations/concepts.

Co-Organized:
  • SM - SPA-Magnetospheric Physics
Index Terms:

4323 Human impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
7594 Instruments and techniques [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7934 Impacts on technological systems [SPACE WEATHER]
7999 General or miscellaneous [SPACE WEATHER]


Primary Convener:  Mario Mark Bisi, United Kingdom Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
Conveners:  Antti A Pulkkinen, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Brent Gordon, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, United States and Krista Hammond, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
Primary Liaison:  Mario Mark Bisi, United Kingdom Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
 
The Medium Energy Particle Spectrometer for the European Space Agency Lagrange (L5) Mission (490010)
Shrinivasrao R. Kulkarni1, Robert F Wimmer-Schweingruber2, Ali Ravanbakhsh2, Cesar Martin-Garcia2,3, Christoph Terasa1, Robert Elftmann1, Stephan I Boettcher1, Lars Seimetz1, Stefan Kolbe2, Mahesh Yedla1, Bjoern Schuster1 and Violetta Knierim2, (1)University of Kiel, Institute for Experimental and Applied Physics, Kiel, Germany, (2)IEAP, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany, (3)now at Institute of Planetary Research, DLR, Berlin, Germany
 
New Energetic Proton Measurements for Aviation-Radiation Services (506236)
Terrance G Onsager, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Hazel M Bain, Boulder, CO, United States, Robert Rutledge, NOAA/NWS/SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States, Juan V Rodriguez, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Brian T Kress, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States and Kyle Copeland, Federal Aviation Administration, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute, Oklahoma City, OK, United States
 
Physics-informed Machine Learning for Probabilistic Space Weather Modeling and Forecasting: dB/dt and Geomagnetically Induced Currents (509472)
Piyush M Mehta, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, United States, Daniel T Welling, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States and Michele D Cash, NOAA-Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States
 
GMD Forecasting & the Electric Grid (517157)
Antti A Pulkkinen, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Emanuel Bernabeu, PJM Interconnection, Audubon, PA, United States
 
NOAA's Current and Future Space Weather Architecture (Invited) (531798)
Elsayed R Talaat, NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States
 
Interferometric and beam-formed observations of the Sun with LOFAR: Present situation and future challenges. (533080)
Pietro Zucca, ASTRON, Dwingeloo, Netherlands and LOFAR Solar and Space Weather KSP
 
The Coronagraph and Heliospheric Imager for the Lagrange L5 Mission (535334)
Jackie A Davies, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, United Kingdom and The Lagrange COR and HI teams
 
The Current Status and Future Plan of Korean Space Weather Center (535573)
Junghee Cho1, Young-Kyu Kim1, Jae-Hun Kim2, Jun-Chul Mun3, Jae-Hyung Lee2, Choi Jangsuk2 and Jong-Youn Yun4, (1)National Radio Research Agency, Naju-si, South Korea, (2)Korean Space Weather Center, Jeju-Si, Korea, Republic of (South), (3)National Radio Research Agency, Jeju-si, South Korea, (4)National Radio Research Agency, Jeju, South Korea
 
USAF Space Weather Observational, Modeling, and Forecast Requirements (536804)
Janelle V Jenniges and Michael Farrar, US Air Force, Washington, DC, United States
 
Title: ESA Lagrange Space Weather Monitoring Mission to L5 Point (Invited) (540860)
Juha-Pekka Luntama, Stefan Kraft, Alexi Glover and Melanie Heil, European Space Agency, Darmstadt, Germany
 
Inferring the Sun's Far-Side Magnetic Flux for Operations Using Time-Distance Helioseismic Imaging (554039)
Shea A. Hess Webber1, Junwei Zhao1, Ruizhu Chen1, J Todd Hoeksema1, Yang Liu1, Monica Bobra1 and Marc L DeRosa2, (1)Stanford University, HEPL, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Lockheed Martin Solar and Astrophysics Laboratory, Palo Alto, CA, United States
 
Customer Requirements Review for Space Weather Products and Services (555681)
Robert Rutledge, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Robert A Steenburgh, NOAA/SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States and Jennifer Sprague, National Weather Service Silver Spring, Silver Spring, United States
 
CME-Forecasting Performance of MAG4 with its HMI Vector Magnetogram Database (555998)
Nicholas Thomas Schragal, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Physics, Huntsville, AL, United States, David Allen Falconer, National Space Science and Technology Center, Huntsville, AL, United States, Sanjiv K. Tiwari, Lockheed Martin Solar and Astrophysics Laboratory, Palo Alto, United States and Ronald L Moore, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, United States
 
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center Solar Energetic Particle Event Forecast Skill (558351)
Noah Stitely, Millersville University, Millersville, PA, United States, Hazel M Bain, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States and Douglas Alan Biesecker, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Improving Forecast Lead Times for the Solar Wind, IMF, and Kp Index (558996)
Heather Alison Elliott1, Charles Nickolos Arge2, Carl J Henney3, Craig DeForest4, David J McComas5, Joerg-Micha Jahn1, Maher A Dayeh6, Susan T Lepri7, Syed Irfan Azeem8 and Geoff Crowley9, (1)Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)Air Force Research Laboratory Kirtland AFB, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States, (4)Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)Princeton University, Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (6)Southwest Research Institute San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, United States, (7)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (8)Atmospheric and Space Technology Research Associates LLC, Louisville, CO, United States, (9)Atmospheric and Space Technology Research Associates, LLC, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Development of Real-Time Verification System for the ASSA Model (562046)
Kyucheol Choi1, Chang-Woo Gye1, Hyun-soo Kim1, Jeong-Deok Lee1 and Jun-Chul Mun2, (1)Space Environment Laboratory, Seoul, South Korea, (2)National Radio Research Agency, Jeju-si, South Korea
 
Probabilistic Modeling of the Space Radiation Environment (586168)
Zachary Donald Robinson, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States, James H Adams Jr, Univ of Alabama Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States, Jonathan Fisher, Fifth Gait Technologies, Inc., Huntsville, United States, Joseph Nonnast, Fifth Gait Technologies, Inc., Fountain, CO, United States and David Terry, Fifth Gait Technologies, Inc., Santa Barbara, United States
 
SWx TREC: An Emerging Community Resource for Integrative Space Weather Data Access and Model/Algorithm R2O Promotion (588180)
Christopher K Pankratz1, Tom Baltzer1, Greg Lucas2, James Craft3, Jenny Knuth4, Thomas E Berger5, Eric K Sutton6, Daniel N Baker3 and Allison N Jaynes7, (1)Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Univ of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)University of Colorado, Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)University of Colorado at Boulder, Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)University of Colorado at Boulder, LASP, Boulder, CO, United States
 
The Space Weather Follow On Program to Sustain Operational Space Weather Space-based Observations (595276)
Marco Vargas, NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States and The SWFO Team
 
ASHI: An All Sky Heliospheric Imager to Provide Space Weather Forecasting Using Thomson-Scattered Sunlight (597394)
Andrew Buffington1, Bernard V Jackson1, Philippe Leblanc1, Matthew Bracamontes1, Sephr Foroughi-Shafiei1, Jyothirmayi Edara1, P. Paul Hick1 and Mario Mark Bisi2, (1)University of California, San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Science, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)United Kingdom Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
 
Designing and Deploying Space Weather Exercises for Space Systems Operators and Space Service Users (602485)
Ewan Haggarty, Airbus Defence and Space, Corsham, United Kingdom
 
The ISEP Research to Operations Project (610492)
Amos Steve Johnson1, Kathryn Whitman2, Kerry Lee1, Edward Semones1, Janet Barzilla3, Phillip R Quinn4, Masha Kuznetsova5, Leila M Mays6, Yaireska M Collado-Vega7 and Joycelyn t Jones8, (1)NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX, United States, (2)University of Houston Downtown, Houston, TX, United States, (3)Leidos, Space Radiation Analysis Group/Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX, United States, (4)Leidos, Space Radiation Analysis Group/Johnson Space Center, Houston, United States, (5)Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (6)NASA/GSFC, Heliopshysics, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (7)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (8)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, United States
 
Space Weather in the UK: Updates on the UK Strategy and International Engagements (612823)
Mark Gibbs, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, Mario Mark Bisi, United Kingdom Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom and Michael A Hapgood, UKRI STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom
 
Resolving small scale GIC effects: What is our capability? (619753)
Daniel T Welling, University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX, United States, Andrew P Dimmock, Aalto University, Aalto, Finland, Lisa Rosenqvist, FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency, Stockholm, Sweden, Steven Morley, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Emiliya Yordanova, IRF Swedish Institute of Space Physics Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden
 
Space Weather Challenges: an AFRL Perspective (621592)
Rachel Hock-Mysliwiec, Air Force Research Laboratory Albuquerque, Albuquerque, NM, United States
 
The University of Colorado Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center's Space Weather Portal: A Tool for Easing Access to and Understanding of Datasets to Characterize Space Weather Events (624000)
Tom Baltzer1, Thomas E Berger2, Jenny Knuth3, Douglas M Lindholm1, Anne Wilson1 and Christopher K Pankratz4, (1)Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)University of Colorado, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Community Coordinating Modeling Center (CCMC): a Portal for State-of-the-art Models to the Research to Operations Transition Pipeline. (627299)
Maria M Kuznetsova1, Leila M Mays2, Edward Semones3, Peter J MacNeice4, Lutz Rastaetter1, Katherine Garcia-Sage5, Yihua Zheng6, Richard Mullinix7, Chiu Wiegand1 and Yaireska M Collado-Vega8, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)NASA/GSFC, Heliopshysics, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX, United States, (4)NASA Goddard SFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (5)Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (6)NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (7)Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (8)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
Observational, Modeling, and Forecast Requirements from the Private Sector Viewpoint (627917)
Jennifer L Gannon, Computational Physics Inc. Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
 
The Chinese IPS Project for Space Weather Study and Forecast (629485)
Yihua Yan1, Wei Wang2, Fei Liu3, Linjie Chen2, Lihong Geng3, Zhijun Chen3, Lijia Liu4, Ming Xiong5, Xueshang Feng6, Jiansen He7 and Xiaoxin Zhang8, (1)National Astronomical Observatories, Beijing, China, (2)National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (3)CAS KLSA, NAOC, Beijing, China, (4)NAOC, Beijing, China, (5)CAS Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (6)National Space Science Center, Beijing, China, (7)Peking University, Beijing, China, (8)China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
 
Observations of Interplanetary Scintillation (IPS) of the 13 May 2005 Eruption: Comparison with Numerical Models (629534)
Oyuki Chang, RAL Space, United Kingdom Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council, Didcot, United Kingdom, Ricardo F. González, Instituto de Radioastronomía y Astrofísica, UNAM, Morelia, Michoacán, Mexico, Mario Mark Bisi, United Kingdom Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom and Richard Andrew Fallows, ASTRON, The Netherlands Institute for Radio Astronomy, Dwingeloo, Netherlands
 
SWx TREC Testbed: Facilitating Model/Algorithm R2O and O2R Development within a Cloud Computing Environment (633126)
Greg Lucas1, James Craft2, Christopher K Pankratz2, Eric K Sutton3 and Thomas E Berger4, (1)Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado at Boulder, Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States