A061
Dynamic and Thermodynamic Processes, Data Assimilation, and Prediction of the Intensity and Structure of Typhoons
Dynamic and Thermodynamic Processes, Data Assimilation, and Prediction of the Intensity and Structure of Typhoons
Session ID#: 77790
Session Description:
The prediction of intensity and structure of typhoons has been extremely challenging due to numerous factors. Included are lack of understanding the key dynamic and thermodynamic processes, large uncertainties from the complex environments and internal dynamics, multiscale interactions among different physical processes (radiation, planetary boundary layer, microphysics, etc.) and various geophysical components (such as ocean, land and atmosphere), suboptimal assimilation of observations due to approximation and limitation of current analysis techniques (such as variational, ensemble, and hybrid methods), a large gap between the scales that observations and the numerical modeling system might represent or resolve, significant systematic error (e.g., “bias”) in numerical prediction systems, and limited representations of physical processes in numerical models. This session solicits abstracts in studying the key dynamic and thermodynamic processes of typhoon structure and intensity changes and in developing data assimilation algorithms and physical parameterization schemes to improve numerical simulation and prediction of typhoons.
Index Terms:
3315 Data assimilation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3373 Tropical dynamics [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener: Zhe-Min Tan, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China
Conveners: Yuqing Wang, Univ Hawaii, International Pacific Research Center and Department of Meteorology, Honolulu, HI, United States, Lili Lei, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China and Yinglong Xu, National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China
Primary Liaison: Lili Lei, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China
See more of: Atmospheric Sciences
