A099
Multi-scale analysis of emissions and observations for air quality forecasting

Session ID#: 78801

Session Description:
The available measurements of tropospheric chemical and aerosol constituents offer an opportunity to improve our understanding of the emissions of these constituents that are critical for accurate multi-scale air quality modeling and analysis. We invite contributions related to: a) evaluation of regional-to-global emission inventories using satellite observations, including inter-comparison studies; b) inverse modeling of sources and sinks of reactive gases and/or aerosols; c) harmonization of satellite retrievals for investigating emissions variability and trends; d) novel techniques in assessing uncertainties in emission estimates (top-down and bottom-up), including multi-species analyses and forward simulation experiments; e) air quality model set-up/evaluation in different parts of the world; f) assimilation of observations into the models; and g) post-processing of model output.
Index Terms:

0345 Pollution: urban and regional [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0365 Troposphere: composition and chemistry [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0368 Troposphere: constituent transport and chemistry [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]

Primary Convener:  Claire Granier, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States; Laboratoire d'Aerologie and CIRES/NOAA, Toulouse, France and Boulder, USA, France
Conveners:  Trissevgeni Stavrakou, Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, Brussels, Belgium, Rajesh Kumar, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Guy P Brasseur, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
Primary Liaison:  Claire Granier, NOAA and LATMOS/IPSL, Boulder, United States
 
Air quality and aerosol predictions at NOAA/National Weather Service (492529)
Ivanka Stajner1, Jeffrey McQueen2, Jian-Ping Huang3,4, Ho-Chun Huang3,5, Li Pan6, Partha Bhattacharjee7, Dorothy M Koch8, Jose tirado-Delgado9,10, Pius Lee11, Youhua Tang12,13, Daniel Tong12,13, Patrick Campbell13,14, Barry Baker15,16, James M Wilczak17, Irina Djalalova18,19, Georg A Grell20, Li Zhang21, Gregory J Frost22, Stuart A McKeen21,23 and Shobha Kondragunta24, (1)NOAA/National Weather Service, NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States, (2)NOAA College Park, National Weather Service, College Park, MD, United States, (3)IMSG, College Park, MD, United States, (4)NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States, (5)National Centers for Environmental Prediction - Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, (6)NOAA NWS NCEP/EMC and IMSG, College Park, MD, United States, (7)IMSG AND EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Washington, DC, United States, (8)NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (9)NOAA/NWS/STI, Silver Spring, United States, (10)Eastern Research Group, Inc. Arlington, Arlington, United States, (11)NOAA, Air Resources Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (12)NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States, (13)Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (14)National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (15)NOAA ARL, College Park, United States, (16)Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites University of Maryland, College Park, DC, United States, (17)NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States, (18)NOAA, Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (19)CIRES and NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (20)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (21)NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (22)Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (23)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (24)NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States
 
Analysis of Recent Anthropogenic Surface Emissions from Inventories and Inverse Modelling Estimates: Are Future Emission Scenarios Valid for the Recent Past? (505663)
Nellie Elguindi1, Claire Granier2, Trissevgeni Stavrakou3, Kazuyuki Miyazaki4, Bo Zheng5, Sabine Darras6, Chen Cheng7, Jean-Francois Muller3, Zhe Jiang8 and Zhen Qu9, (1)CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France, (2)NOAA and LATMOS/IPSL, Boulder, United States, (3)Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, Brussels, Belgium, (4)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (5)State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, (6)Observatoire Midi-Pyrenees, Toulouse, France, (7)Seattle, WA, United States, (8)University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China, (9)University of Colorado, Mechanical Engineering, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Impact of the Precursors Emissions Reductions on the Recent Evolution of Pollutants in China (Invited) (507415)
Gaëlle Dufour1, Mathieu Lachâtre1, Audrey Cheiney2, Guillaume Siour1, Maxim Eremenko1, Bo Zheng3, Qiang Zhang4, Matthias Beekmann1, Owen R Cooper5, Juan Cuesta1, Gilles Foret1, Audrey Gaudel5, Didier Hauglustaine2, Weili Lin6, Valerie Thouret7, Xiaobin Xu8 and Yunjiang Zhang2, (1)Laboratoire Inter-universitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques (LISA), UMR CNRS 7583, Université Paris-Est Créteil, Université de Paris, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL), Créteil, France, (2)Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, UMR8212, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (3)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (4)Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, (5)CIRES, U. of Colorado, NOAA-ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)College of Life and Envirenmental Sciences, Minzu University of China, Beijing, China, Beijing, China, (7)Laboratoire d’Aérologie, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, UPS, Toulouse, France, (8)Key Laboratory for Atmospheric Chemistry of China Meteorological Administration, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China, Beijing, China
 
Multi-scale Predictions of Air Quality with a Variable Resolution Global Model (510172)
Louisa K Emmons1, Rebecca Schwantes2, Forrest Lacey3, Simone Tilmes4, Nicholas Davis5, Stacy Walters3, Peter Hjort Lauritzen6, Patrick Callaghan3, Julio T Bacmeister7 and Richard B Neale6, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry, Observations, and Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (6)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)AMP/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Identifying sectoral trends in emissions and changes in chemical regimes from long time series of hourly and daily pollutant concentrations in the San Joaquin Valley (511682)
Benjamin de Foy, Saint Louis University Main Campus, Saint Louis, MO, United States, James J Schauer, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States and William H Brune, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States
 
A world-wide Service for Air Pollution Forecasts: The MAP-AQ Project (512337)
Guy P Brasseur, National Center for Atmospheric Research, ACOM, Boulder, United States and Rajesh Kumar, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Projection of anthropogenic PM2.5 over India in the near future under global warming and its policy implications (516410)
Sagnik Dey1, Abhishek KUMAR Upadhyay1, Rajesh Kumar2 and Pramila Goyal3, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, New Delhi, India
 
Reducing Uncertainty in Emission Estimates Using Perturbed Parameter Ensembles and Vertically Resolved Observations: A Focus on Beijing (534949)
Le Yuan1, David Carruthers2, Christina Hood2, Roderic L Jones1, Olalekan A Popoola1, Jenny Stocker2 and Alexander T Archibald1, (1)University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (2)Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Update on European Regional Air Quality Forecast in the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) (538198)
Augustin Colette1, Gaëlle Collin2, Marion Pithon2, Frédérik Meleux3, Jerome Barre4 and CAMS_50 European Air Quality Forecast Regional Production Team, (1)INERIS Institut National de l’Environnement Industriel et des Risques, Verneuil En Halatte, France, (2)Météo-France, Toulouse, France, (3)INERIS, Verneuil En Halatte, France, (4)European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Pollution in Eastern ASIA (PolEASIA): towards better air quality prevision and impacts’ evaluationSet-up of a forecast system over China (539463)
Fanny Velay1, Armand Albergel1, Gaëlle Dufour2 and Jinding Lin1, (1)ARIA Technologies, Boulogne-Billancourt, France, (2)Laboratoire Inter-universitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques (LISA), UMR CNRS 7583, Université Paris-Est Créteil, Université de Paris, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL), Créteil, France
 
Multi-scale Analysis of Ozone Source Apportionment Using CMAQ-ISAM during 2018 LISTOS Field Campaign (546076)
Qian Shu1, Kirk R Baker1, Sergey L Napelenok1, James Szykman2, Luke Valin1 and Todd Plessel3, (1)Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States, (2)US EPA, ORD, National Exposure Research Laboratory, Hampton, VA, United States, (3)US EPA / Lockheed, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States
 
A Novel Ensemble System for PM2.5 Probabilistic Predictions over the US (556650)
Stefano Alessandrini, Rajesh Kumar and Jared A Lee, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Understanding emissions and chemistry in Asia by reconciling the regional chemical transport model results with the observations from satellites, aircrafts, ship, and surface monitors (558137)
Si-Wan Kim1, Kyoung-Mn Kim1, Seunghwan SEO1, Yujoo Jeong1, Jeongyeon Kim1, Rajesh Kumar2, Gabriele Pfister2 and Louisa K Emmons2, (1)Yonsei University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul, South Korea, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Impacts of Different Anthropogenic and Biomass Burning Emissions on Global Aerosol Forecasts using NCEP’s Online Coupled Model GEFS-Aerosols (560155)
Li Zhang1, Georg A Grell2, Stuart A McKeen1, Raffaele Montuoro3, Gregory J Frost4, Ravan Ahmadov5, Judy Henderson6, Partha Bhattacharjee7, Cecelia DeLuca8, Li Pan9, Jeffrey McQueen10, Jun Wang11, Ivanka Stajner12, Shobha Kondragunta13, Xiaoyang Zhang14 and Fangjun Li15, (1)NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)NOAA, ESRL/NESII, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA/ESRL/CSD, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)NOAA ESRL, GSD, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)IMSG AND EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Washington, DC, United States, (8)CIRES, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (9)NOAA NWS NCEP/EMC and IMSG, College Park, MD, United States, (10)NOAA NWS, NCEP, College Park, MD, United States, (11)NOAA/NWS, EMC, Greenbelt, United States, (12)NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (13)NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD, United States, (14)South Dakota State University, Brookings, SD, United States, (15)South Dakota State University, Geospatial Sciences Center of Excellence, Brookings, SD, United States
 
Impact of current emission reduction of air pollutants over BTH region in China on ambient fine particulate matter concentrations (564907)
Chang-Keun Song1, Hyeon-Kook Kim1, Yesol CHA2, Eun-Ryoung Kim1, KangHo Bae2, Jongjae Lee2, Gulim Kang2, Hyuckjae Lee2, Seunghee Lee2, Myong-In Lee2, Jinseok Kim3, Jinsu Kim3, Younha Kim3, Jung-Hun Woo3, Kwangjoo Moon4, Kwon-ho Jeon4 and Hyeok-Gi Chae4, (1)Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, South Korea, (3)Konkuk University, Seoul, South Korea, (4)National Institute of Environmental Research, Incheon, South Korea
 
Understanding Anthropogenic Combustion in Major Cities of Africa from Multiple Data Streams (593450)
Vanessa Brocchi1, Avelino F Arellano Jr1, Wenfu Tang2 and Benjamin Gaubert2, (1)University of Arizona, Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
 
On the robustness of quality prediction performance assessments (Invited) (594388)
Gabriele Pfister1, Rajesh Kumar1 and Frank M Flocke2, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Global Air Pollutant Emissions Estimates to 2018 and Community Emissions Data System (CEDS) Project Updates (594882)
Patrick R O'Rourke, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States and Steven Smith, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
 
Constraining Oil and Natural Gas Emission in the Northern Front Range (NFR) Colorado Through a Multiplatform Inversion (608354)
Maryam Abdi-Oskouei, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Pablo E Saide, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Gregory R Carmichael, Univ Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States
 
Characterizing elevated urban air pollution spatial patterns near sources with Google Street View mobile monitoring in Houston, Texas (619732)
David J Miller1, Blake Actkinson2, Lauren J Padilla1, Robert J Griffin3, Katie Moore4, Grace Lewis4, Rivkah P Gardner-Frolick5, Elena Craft6, Christopher Portier7 and Ramon Alvarez5, (1)Environmental Defense Fund, Boston, MA, United States, (2)Rice University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, United States, (3)Rice University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX, United States, (4)Environmental Defense Fund, Houston, United States, (5)Environmental Defense Fund, Austin, TX, United States, (6)Environmental Defense Fund, Austin, United States, (7)Environmental Defense Fund, New York, NY, United States
 
Impact of Improved Constrained Black Carbon (BC) Emissions and Fine Grid Resolved BC Aerosol Transport Simulated in a Chemical Transport Model (CHIMERE) over the Indo-Gangetic Plain: Implications to Population Exposure, Risks and Mitigation (620414)
Shubha Verma, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India, Sanhita Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Advanced Technology Development Center, Kharagpur, India, Olivier Boucher, LMD, Paris Cedex 05, France and Rong Wang, Fudan University, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai, China
 
A Dispersion Model to Estimate CH4 emissions from Manure Lagoons in Dairy Farms (627381)
Ranga Rajan Thiruvenkatachari1, Valerie Carranza1, Faraz Enayati Ahangar2, Akula Venkatram1 and Francesca Mia Hopkins1, (1)University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, United States, (2)University of California Riverside, Mechanical Engineering, Riverside, CA, United States
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