SH010
Innovative approaches in solar flare forecasting
Session ID#: 79145
Session Description:
Solar flares are one of the major sources of space weather disturbances. The monitoring and forecasting of solar flares are crucial to reduce space weather risks for our modern society on the Earth as well as human exploration in space. In recent years, the solar observations had a great progress thanks to the much higher spatial, temporal and spectral resolutions that have prevailed. Various new approaches for solar flare forecasting have emerged. Prominent progresses include the artificial intelligence methods in parallel to the numerical modeling approaches. In this session, we invite contributions on any kinds of innovative approaches relevant for solar flare forecasting, which include but are not limited to the empirical, statistical, big-data, artificial intelligence, physical measure, and numerical modeling methodologies. The scope of the discussions covers from preliminary ideas, experimental techniques to mature operational schemes advancing solar flare forecasting. Any related topics about solar flares are also welcome.
Index Terms:
7519 Flares [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7524 Magnetic fields [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
7959 Models [SPACE WEATHER]
Primary Convener: Han He, National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Convener: Robertus Erdelyi, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom
Primary Liaison: Han He, National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Physics-based prediction of imminent giant solar flares (487445)
Kanya Kusano1, Tomoya Iju2, Yumi Bamba3 and Satoshi Inoue1, (1)Nagoya University, ISEE, Nagoya, Japan, (2)NAOJ National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, Tokyo, Japan, (3)Nagoya University, ISEE & IAR, Nagoya, Japan
Solar Flare Classification and Prediction with Data Science (489887)
Yang Chen1, Ward Manchester2, Tamas I Gombosi2, Alfred Hero2 and Xiantong Wang2, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, United States, (2)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
Statistical and Observational Research of Solar Flare EUV Spectra and Geometrical Features for Predicting Total Flare Emission Spectra (505609)
Shohei Nishimoto1, Kyoko Watanabe1, Shinsuke Imada2, Toshiki Kawai3, Tomoko Kawate4 and Kyoung Sun Lee5, (1)National Defense Academy of Japan, Yokosuka, Japan, (2)Nagoya University, ISEE, Nagoya, Japan, (3)Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan, (4)Institute of Space and Astronautical Science, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sagamihara, Japan, (5)The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, United States
Predicting Solar Flares using Time Sequence Based Machine Learning Models (508379)
Xiantong Wang1, Gabor Toth2, Yang Chen3, Ward Manchester2, Zhenbang Jiao3, Hu Sun3, Zeyu Sun3, Alfred O Hero3 and Tamas I Gombosi2, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (3)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, United States
A DEFT New Way to Forecast Flares (510753)
Matthew Chih, Marietta College, Physics, Worthington, OH, United States, Larisza D Krista, University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA, NCEI, Boulder, CO, United States, Daniel B Seaton, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, United States; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States and Paul T M Loto'aniu, University of Colorado, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States
Prediction of Extreme Ultraviolet Dynamic Spectrum during Large Flare using Convolutional Neural Network (514107)
Toshiki Kawai1, Shinsuke Imada2, Shohei Nishimoto3, Kyoko Watanabe3 and Tomoko Kawate4, (1)Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan, (2)Nagoya University, ISEE, Nagoya, Japan, (3)National Defense Academy of Japan, Yokosuka, Japan, (4)Institute of Space and Astronautical Science, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sagamihara, Japan
Complex network of solar active regions in the presence of the magnetic field (517955)
Shahriar Esmaeili1, Farhad Daei2, Mahdiyeh Makoie2, Nastaran Farhang2 and Hossein Safari2, (1)Texas A&M University College Station, Department of Physics and Astronomy, College Station, TX, United States, (2)University of Zanjan, Department of Physics, Zanjan, Iran
Information Horizon of Solar Flare Waiting Times (548717)
Jesse Michael Snelling1, Jay Johnson1, Jacob Willard1, Jonathan Hohman1 and Simon Wing2, (1)Andrews University, Berrien Springs, MI, United States, (2)Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
Some Characteristics of Large Solar Flares- Towards Solar Flare Forecasting (553559)
Clayton Allison, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Space Science, Huntsville, AL, United States, Gang Li, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States and David Allen Falconer, National Space Science and Technology Center, Huntsville, AL, United States
The How and Why of Big Solar Flares (557509)
Brianna Isola1,2, Graham Barnes1, K. D. Leka1,3 and Stuart A Gilchrist1, (1)NorthWest Research Associates Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Stony Brook University, Department of Physics and Astronomy, Stony Brook, NY, United States, (3)Nagoya University, ISEE, Nagoya, Japan
Pathways to Coronal Magnetic Energy Storage in The NOAA AR11283 (593167)
Alanna Cavins1, Graham Barnes2, K D Leka2 and Stuart A Gilchrist2, (1)Morehead State University, Physics, Earth Science, and Space Systems Engineering, Morehead, KY, United States, (2)NorthWest Research Associates Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Differences between high-productive and low-productive active regions (593897)
Declan Brick, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Physics, Huntsville, AL, United States, David Allen Falconer, National Space Science and Technology Center, Huntsville, AL, United States and Gang Li, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States
Stokes Line Parameters as Possible Indicators of Flaring Activity: A Comparison of Flaring and Non-Flaring Active Regions (604826)
Kristine Romich1, Ana Cristina Cadavid1, Debi Prasad Choudhary1 and Christian Beck2, (1)California State University Northridge, Northridge, CA, United States, (2)National Solar Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States
