A059
Drivers of tropical Pacific decadal variability

Session ID#: 81162

Session Description:
Decadal variability in the tropical Pacific (TPDV) is known to influence precipitation, floods, drought, agricultural production and extreme weather both within and well beyond the tropical Pacific. Despite the prominent impacts, we have very little understanding of how much of TPDV is distinct from the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Numerous mechanisms for DVTP have been proposed in the literature, including: i) oceanic and atmospheric exchanges between the Pacific extra-tropics and tropics; ii) Interbasin connectivity, whereby decadal SST changes in the Atlantic and Indian ocean can modulate the tropical Pacific climate; and iii) External forcing, which includes greenhouse gasses, volcanic forcing and anthropogenic aerosols. Although all of the above mechanisms have likely played some role in past changes, we currently have very little understanding of their relative importance. This session seeks submissions aimed at clarifying the dominant drivers of tropical Pacific decadal variations, and the relationship of TPDV with ENSO.
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4513 Decadal ocean variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
4522 ENSO [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]


Primary Convener:  Shayne McGregor, Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere & Environment, Clayton, VIC, Australia
Conveners:  Yu Kosaka, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, Matthew H England, Univ New South Wales, Sydney, Australia and Weiqing Han, Univ of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States
Primary Liaison:  Shayne McGregor, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Aerosol and Solar Influences on Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability (Invited) (492817)
Doug M Smith1, Ben Booth2, Nick J Dunstone1, Rosemary Eade3, Gareth S. Jones4, Leon Hermanson1, Matthew Menary2, Adam A Scaife1, Katy L. Sheen5 and Vikki Thompson1, (1)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom, (4)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (5)University of Exeter, Geography, Penryn, United Kingdom
 
Improvements to the Cross-Calibrated Multi-Platform (CCMP) Vector Wind Dataset for Tropical Studies (508322)
Carl A Mears1, Lucrezia Ricciardulli1, Tong Lee2 and Frank J Wentz1, (1)Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA, United States, (2)JPL, Pasadena, CA, United States
 
Patterns of forced decadal temperature variability over the last millennium in the tropics: perspectives from CMIP5 models and coral records (525130)
Luke Alexander Parsons, University of Washington, Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Sara C Sanchez, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle, CA, United States, Robert Jnglin Wills, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Casey Saenger, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, Seattle, WA, United States
 
Impact of ENSO-like Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability on the Relative Frequency of El Niño and La Niña (553168)
Tianyi Sun, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States and Yuko Okumura, University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, TX, United States
 
Disentangling the drivers of global and tropical Pacific decadal variability using large ensembles (Invited) (569970)
Giovanni Liguori1,2, Shayne McGregor1,2, Julie Arblaster1,2, Martin Singh1,2 and Gerald Meehl3, (1)Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere & Environment, Clayton, VIC, Australia, (2)ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Clayton, Australia, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
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