A065
Evolution of Volcanic Plumes and Their Impacts on Aviation, Atmosphere, and Climate

Session ID#: 83606

Session Description:
This session brings together different scientific communities working on volcanic plumes and their impacts at all time-scales, from the first evolution of ash-rich volcanic plumes to the volcanic sulfate aerosol that lingers in the atmosphere for years after an eruption. Generally, volcanic plumes start as ash-rich and evolve into mostly sulfate plumes after the deposition of ash particles. Volcanic Ash Advisory Centers monitor ash plumes on hours-to-weeks timescales to limit their impact on aviation. Climate studies mostly focus on the evolution of volcanic sulfate and its years-long impacts on atmospheric composition and radiation. In this session, we welcome submissions of observational and modeling studies on any stage of volcanic plumes, from the early ash-rich phase to late sulfate plumes. We also welcome submissions on the impacts of volcanic perturbations at different scales, from local communities, to aviation, to the global atmosphere and climate.
Index Terms:

0305 Aerosols and particles [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
0370 Volcanic effects [ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]
8409 Atmospheric effects [VOLCANOLOGY]


Primary Convener:  Valentina Aquila, American University, Department of Environmental Science, Washington, DC, United States
Conveners:  Jean-Paul Vernier, National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA, United States and John J Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Valentina Aquila, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
A new volcanic stratospheric sulfate aerosol forcing emulator (EVA H): Comparison with interactive stratospheric aerosol models. (493359)
Thomas Jacques Aubry, University of Cambridge, Geography, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Matthew Toohey, GEOMAR, Kiel, Germany, Lauren Marshall, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom and Anja Schmidt, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Impacts of the Mount Pinatubo eruption on ENSO in the GEOS seasonal-to-subseasonal forecasting system (494776)
Valentina Aquila1, Colleen Baldwin2, Nikita Mukherjee2, Eric C Hackert3, Jelena Marshak4 and Andrea Molod5, (1)American University, Department of Environmental Science, Washington, DC, United States, (2)American University, Washington, DC, United States, (3)NASA/Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (5)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
Simulating the Stratospheric Volcanic Ash Evolution after the 2014 Mt. Kelut Eruption (497481)
Yunqian Zhu, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Brian Toon, University of Colorado at Boulder, ATOC/LASP, Boulder, CO, United States, Eric J Jensen, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Charles Bardeen, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Michael J Mills, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry, Observations, and Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Could continuum pulses over 50 ka of Toba supereruptions cause a global climatic change? (497642)
Benoît Caron1, Giulia del Manzo2, Bartolini Annachiara3, Benoit Villemant4, Anne Le Friant5, Eva Moreno3, Franck C Bassinot6 and Francois Baudin4, (1)Sorbonne University, Paris, France, (2)Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris, France, (3)Museum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Paris, France, (4)Sorbonne University, ISTeP, Paris, France, (5)Université de Paris, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris, France, (6)CEA Saclay DSM / LSCE, Gif sur Yvette, France
 
The Effects of Chemical Composition, Radiative Heating, Plume Height, and Latitude of Volcanic Injection on Plume Dispersion in the Stratosphere (Invited) (505930)
Georgiy L Stenchikov1, Alexander Ukhov1 and Sergey Osipov1,2, (1)King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia, (2)Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany
 
Development of a Fast-Response Volcanic SO2 Prediction System: A Study for the 2018 Mt. Kilauea Eruption using a Chemical Transport Model and Satellite Data (509045)
Youhua Tang1, Daniel Tong2, Kai Yang3, Pius Lee4, Barry Baker5, Patrick Campbell6, Alice Crawford2, Winston T Luke7, Ariel F Stein2, James H Flynn III8, Yuxuan Wang8, Jeffrey McQueen9, Li Pan10, Jian-Ping Huang11 and Ivanka Stajner12, (1)NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (2)NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States, (3)UMD, College Park, MD, United States, (4)NOAA, Air Resources Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA ARL, College Park, United States, (6)NOAA Ocean and Atmospheric Research, College Park, MD, United States, (7)NOAA-Air Resources Lab, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (8)University of Houston, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Houston, TX, United States, (9)NOAA College Park, National Weather Service, College Park, MD, United States, (10)NOAA NWS NCEP/EMC and IMSG, College Park, MD, United States, (11)IMSG, College Park, MD, United States, (12)NOAA, National Weather Service, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Satellite observations reveal complex stratospheric dynamics during the 2019 Raikoke eruption (Invited) (509398)
Andrew Prata, Leonardo Mingari and Arnau Folch, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
 
Transient Dynamics and Buoyant Spreading in the June 2019 Raikoke Eruption Plume (517509)
Chris Johnson, University of Manchester, Department of Mathematics, Manchester, United Kingdom, Catherine Hayer, University of Manchester, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Manchester, United Kingdom, Wim Degruyter, Cardiff University, Cardiff, United Kingdom and Michael Richard Burton, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
 
Probabilistic evaluation of the impact of volcanic ash on aviation during small-magnitude eruptions at Canary Islands (518063)
Alberto Prieto1, Luca D'Auria2,3, Giovanni Macedonio4, Pedro A. Hernández3,5 and William Hernández1, (1)Instituto Volcanológico de Canarias (INVOLCAN), San Cristobal de La Laguna, Spain, (2)Instituto Volcanológico de Canarias (INVOLCAN), San Cristóbal de La Laguna (Tenerife, Spain), Spain, (3)Instituto Tecnológico y de Energías Renovables (ITER), Granadilla de Abona, Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain, (4)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Napoli, Italy, (5)Instituto Volcanológico de Canarias (INVOLCAN), Puerto de la Cruz, Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain
 
Improving SO2 Layer Height Retrieval for the OMI and OMPS Spectrometers with an Inverse Machine Learning Based Approach (520974)
Nikita Markovich Fedkin, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, Can Li, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College PARK, MD, United States, Nickolay Anatoly Krotkov, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Diego G Loyola, German Aerospace Center (DLR), The Remote Sensing Technology Institute (IMF), Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany, Russell R. Dickerson, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, United States and Simon A Carn, Michigan Technological University, Department of Geological and Mining Engineering & Sciences, Houghton, MI, United States
 
The June 2019 Raikoke eruption: a case study for forecasting volcanic sulfate evolution (525548)
Michael J Mills1, Simone Tilmes1, Douglas Edward Kinnison2, Rolando R Garcia3 and Jadwiga Richter4, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry, Observations, and Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Natl Ctr Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Using GES DISC Data to Study Kilauea Volcano of 2018 (547281)
Binita KC1, James E Johnson1, Jay Su1, Suhung Shen2, Jian Zeng3 and Dana Ostrenga3, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, ADNET Systems Inc, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, George Mason University, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
Re-Constructing Volcanic Ash Plume vertical and horizontal extension using CALIOP/CALIPSO and NASA Langley Trajectory Model (LaTM): The June 2019 Raikoke eruption (547934)
Hyun-Deok Choi1, Jean-Paul Vernier1, Hongyu Liu1, Fairlie T Duncan2 and Murali Natarajan2, (1)National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA, United States, (2)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States
 
Impacts of OH and HNO3 on Stratospheric Aerosol Size Distribution: from Volcanic Plumes to Polar Stratospheric Clouds (549073)
Parker Alexander Case, University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Valentina Aquila, American University, Department of Environmental Science, Washington, DC, United States, Peter Richard Colarco, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Brian Toon, University of Colorado at Boulder, ATOC/LASP, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Impact of Inter-Hemispherically Asymmetric Volcanic Aerosol Forcing on Sahelian Rainfall (551269)
Tess Wei-Ping Jacobson1, Wenchang Yang2 and Gabriel Andres Vecchi2, (1)Princeton University, Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Differences in the Vertical and Microphysical Evolution of Volcanic and Pyrocumulonimbus Stratospheric Aerosol Plumes as Observed by CALIOP and CATS Satellite Lidar (556809)
Kenneth Edward Christian, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, John E Yorks, SSAI/NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Valentina Aquila, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
Tracking aerosols and SO2 clouds from Raikoke eruption with Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite (OMPS): 3D view from Nadir Mapper and Limb Profiler (568217)
Nick Gorkavyi1, Matthew T DeLand2, Joanna Joiner3, Nickolay Anatoly Krotkov4, Can Li5, Ghassan Taha6 and Omar Torres4, (1)Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, MD, United States, (2)Sci Systems & Applications Inc, Lanham, MD, United States, (3)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (5)Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College PARK, MD, United States, (6)Universities Space Research Association, NASA/code 614, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
Past and future radiative forcing from small-to-moderate-magnitude volcanic eruptions (575874)
Anja Schmidt, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Piers Forster, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom and Susan Solomon, MIT/EAPS, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Introducing IFS-CB05-BASCOE-GLOMAP (ICBG): A Coupled Tropospheric and Stratospheric Aerosol and Chemistry Option for the ECMWF IFS (587177)
Samuel Rémy, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States; HYGEOS, Lille, France, Vincent Huijnen, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, Graham W Mann, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom, Simon Henri Chabrillat, Royal Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, Brussels, Belgium, Zak Kipling, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom and Richard J Engelen, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Validation of the NAME Volcanic Plume Dispersion Model using TROPOMI Satellite Observations: Investigating the 2019 Raikoke Eruption. (587910)
Johannes de Leeuw, University of Cambridge, Chemistry, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Anja Schmidt, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom and Claire S Witham, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
 
The Effect of Background ENSO and NAO Conditions on the Climatological Response to a Pinatubo Sized Volcanic Eruption (588772)
Helen Weierbach, Arlington, VA, United States, Allegra N. LeGrande, NASA GISS 568, New York, NY, United States and Kostas Tsigaridis, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
 
Effect of volcanic emissions on clouds during the 2008 and 2018 Kilauea degassing events (591870)
Donifan Barahona, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Kathy Breen, Baylor University, Waco, TX, United States, Tianle Yuan, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Huisheng Bian, NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD, United States
 
Influence of Particle Aging and Radiation Interaction on Plume Dispersion after the Raikoke 2019 Eruption (591910)
Lukas Muser1, Lisa Muth1, Ali Hoshyaripour1, Heike Vogel1, Sven Werchner1, Roland Potthast2, Christoph Kottmeier1 and Bernhard Vogel1, (1)Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe, Germany, (2)Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Offenbach am Main, Germany
 
Ash-sulphuric interactions: Simulating major volcanic aerosol clouds as global dust veils (598719)
Graham W Mann1, Sarah Shallcross2, Juan Carlos Antuña-Marrero3, Sandip Dhomse1, Anja Schmidt4, Ryan Neely5, Ken S Carslaw1, Nicolas Bellouin6, David M Winker7, Geraint Vaughan8 and Stuart A Young9, (1)University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom, (2)University of Leeds, ICAS - Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, (3)Camaguey Meteorological Center, Grupo de Optica Atmosferica de Camaguey (GOAC), Camaguey, Cuba, (4)University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (5)University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, (6)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, Reading, United Kingdom, (7)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States, (8)University of Manchester, Manchester, M13, United Kingdom, (9)CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
 
Modelling the Dispersal of Tephra by a Volcanic Plume using Direct Numerical Simulations (DNS). (599879)
Daniel Ward, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom, Sam Pegler, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, David Ferguson, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, Som Dutta, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States and Robert Michael Dorrell, University of Hull, Energy and Environment Institute, Hull, HU6, United Kingdom
 
The promise of ensemble forecasts to improve tracking of emissions from the Hawaiian Kilauea Volcano (618261)
Lacey Holland, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, Steven Businger, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Atmospheric Sciences, Honolulu, HI, United States, Vincent J Realmuto, JPL, Pasadena, CA, United States and Tiziana Cherubini, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, United States
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