H205-01
Assessing spatial patterns and drivers of intermittent flow in the contiguous U.S.
Assessing spatial patterns and drivers of intermittent flow in the contiguous U.S.
Wednesday, 16 December 2020: 08:30
Virtual
Abstract:
Understanding the distribution, causes, and variability of streamflow intermittence (no-flow) is critical, as non-perennial streams constitute over half the global stream network by length and drive important hydrologic, biogeochemical, and ecological function across scales. Here, we report on a broad spatial analysis of no-flow metrics using USGS gage data from 540 non-perennial rivers across the contiguous U.S. from 1979-2018. For each climate year (Apr. 1 - Mar. 31) at each gage, we quantified three metrics characterizing the mean annual no-flow regime: (1) fraction of days measuring no streamflow per year; (2) timing, as represented by the first day of the year with no flow; and (3) rate of drying, as represented by the average number of days from a local peak in daily flow to the first occurrence of no flow. We also extracted climatic, physiographic, land cover, and flow alteration characteristics for each watershed from the GAGES-2 and gridMET datasets. Multivariate analysis revealed significant differences in the timing, duration, and rate of drying of no flow by ecoregion and between natural and human altered watersheds. To quantify the drivers of spatial variability in no-flow characteristics, we developed random forest models relating the watershed characteristics to each no-flow metric for the entire contiguous U.S. as well as within six different ecoregions. Though aridity emerges as a primary driver of no-flow metrics at the national scale, the hydrologic regime of intermittent rivers is explained by regionally unique combinations of physioclimatic and antropogenic drivers. Of note, drying rate showed stronger associations with descriptors of human activities compared to the duration or timing of no flow. Although the gage records examined in this study shed important light on large-scale patterns and causes of streamflow intermittence, their sparse spatial distribution points to a need for high-density measurements at the reach and catchment scale to better understand non-perennial streams both today and in the future.

