Perceived Risks and Responses Related to Permafrost Thaw in three Arctic Focal Areas

Abstract:

“Nunataryuk” is a multi-disciplinary research consortium, examining permafrost thaw (PFT) in Arctic coastal areas from multiple perspectives. This paper presents outcomes from fieldwork conducted in Longyearbyen on Svalbard in Norway, Tiksi and Bykovskiy in Yakutiya, Russia, and Inuvik and Aklavik in the Northwest Territories in Canada. It analyzes the entanglement between social and environmental change and addresses perceptions of the societal impacts of PFT, as well as (policy) responses to these impacts. The paper is based on data from qualitative interviews and a quantitative survey conducted in the three sites.

In northern Yakutiya the growing effects of climate change are publicly discussed only in cases of major economic losses; e.g. when extreme weather events or PFT effect the seasonality of supply of necessary products and foods by winter roads. Other seemingly major environmental problems, such as the destruction of a graveyard due to severe coastal erosion, seem to be ignored. While the indigenous and mixed population of the neighboring villages is drawn to Tiksi, the residents of Tiksi move to Yakutsk and to the cities on the “Big Land”, leaving empty houses behind.

In the Beaufort Sea area, Indigenous and other local organizations engage actively in the monitoring of and adaptation to the changes resulting from the effects of climate change and PFT. Employing a holistic understanding of socio-cultural vitality, which depends on an intact environment to provide sustenance for the local populations, concerns include not only environmental effects but also the loss of intangible heritage such as Indigenous languages and cultures.

For the non-indigenous community of Longyearbyen, Svalbard’s largest settlement, PFT is a major concern. While public perception of PFT and its impacts is high, it not always corresponds to the view of local engineers and scientists, who give a nuanced picture of the causes and effects of PFT. Perceived risks are mainly related to the built environment, while other aspects of society, such as health or culture, are not considered affected. Climate change and PFT are high up on the agenda of local and national policies, and adaptation is seen as a technical issue and entirely feasible, provided that sufficient resources are available.