GC070-0004
QUALITATIVE BASIS FOR ADAPTATION OF SIBERIA TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT

Friday, 11 December 2020: 06:12
Virtual
Evgeny P Gordov, Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia, Yulia E Gordova, SCERT, IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia, Pavel Groisman, P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS, Moscow, Russia; National Centers for Environment Information Center for Weather and Climate, Asheville, NC, United States and Anna A Ryazanova, Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Tomsk, Russia
Abstract:
Substantial change of regional climate has led and will lead to significant consequences for Siberia environment, population, and economy. To elaborate relevant adaptation strategy regional decisionmakers need scientifically based quantitative estimates of ongoing and possible future spatial-temporal characteristics of climate change impact on the region. As a rule, due to lack of programming skills, the regional stakeholders and decisionmakers cannot retrieve required information from a number of open climatic data archives. To infill this gap and provide them a basis for adaptation strategy of regional development, we created a bilingual information resource (http://climate.scert.ru/), aimed at analyses of climate and environmental changes in Siberia.

Currently, the resource contains three modules: Climate for general public, Data library of climate characteristics, and Climate characteristics archive. Module “Climate for general public” (http://climate.scert.ru/public/ ) serves as a basis for an educational resource for the Russian-speaking population (https://readymag.com/u56689182/894805/). Module “Data library of climate characteristics” (http://climate.scert.ru/library/) offers to decision makers ready-made data packages of key characteristics and extreme climate manifestations for download and further work with them in a desktop GIS. The library presents a set of digital maps that visualize annual ongoing and possible future anomalies of meteorological characteristics, WMO climatic indices, and various hydrothermal coefficients. These characteristics will help to understand how temperature and precipitation change from year to year in Siberia (50-65°N, 60-120°E). For usage of any index one can download from the “Climate characteristics archive” module (http://climate.scert.ru/archive/) files in a number of formats for the future use in various desktop GIS systems. The calculations are performed using high resolution data archives (ERA5 reanalysis for ongoing climate and CORDEX project for Central Asia (CAS-22) and CMIP6 data for future). They provide reliable climatic characteristics influencing regional and local environmental and economic processes. This information serves as a basis for development of adaptation strategies for the targeted regions.

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