A011-0010
Cold air outbreaks during ACTIVATE: Observationally constrained large-eddy simulations of microphysically-mediated cloud regime transitions
Abstract:
The ACTIVATE campaign set out to better understand cloud-aerosol interactions by using in-situ and remote sensing instrumentation - sampling cloud and aerosol properties in and around the cloud fields – in concert with large-eddy simulations to verify process understanding. This study targets a cold air outbreak on March 1st 2020 over the Gulf Stream in the northwest Atlantic. We show how simulated micro- and macrophysical cloud and precipitation fields improve in comparison to observed ones, when ensuring that dynamic and thermodynamic variables as well as aerosol properties in the boundary layer and free troposphere match their respective observations. We further demonstrate how measurements -- mostly obtained from the stratiform regime -- have a significant impact on the simulated transition to the convective regime. This study highlights key parameters necessary to realistically simulate cold air outbreaks and steers future observations in upcoming campaign flights. Future sampling should target expected in-cloud portions of heightened riming prior to precipitation as well as boundary layers immediately following precipitation events and keep measuring particle size distributions and hygroscopicity, in order to verify transition drivers that we identified in our simulations. To avoid early icing of instrument inlets, these targets need to be carefully arranged in sequence. Continued dropsonde measurements at strategic locations will provide profiles of wind, temperature, and humidity and ensure that large-scale conditions in reanalysis fields are realistic.